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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors18%9594
4Mavericks82%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.7
42.2
33.5
14
60%
8
3
0
1
2
2
2
6
6-6
100%
4-8
4-10
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
40.3
37.3
18
61%
8
2
2
1
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
39.0
36.3
11
40%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
5-9
4-10
56%
40%
0-4
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.9
34.5
30.5
21
51%
2
5
1
1
1
3
1
1
3-4
75%
6-15
6-14
40%
44%
2-4
50%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.4
29.4
35.4
9
45%
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-8
38%
42%
1-2
50%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
25.4
23.0
11
61%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
41%
3-7
43%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
15.6
14.5
4
69%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 24.9
13.4
19.5
6
104%
10
1
0
0
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.7
4.4
0
1-1
39%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.9
4.0
0
0-1
41%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.5
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.1
1.4
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
42.3
40.0
27
62%
8
5
1
1
1
3
1
7
2-4
50%
5-11
6-13
45%
46%
5-9
56%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.9
40.1
34.6
23
54%
5
11
1
1
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
7-16
4-8
44%
47%
2-4
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
37.6
28.6
14
71%
14
1
1
1
0
3
4
10
1-2
50%
5-7
4-9
71%
44%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
32.6
32.5
14
45%
5
2
2
1
1
1
0
5
5-6
83%
3-9
5-11
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.9
28.6
10.3
10
73%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
37.6
26.1
23
66%
9
2
3
1
2
1
6
3
3-3
100%
10-15
5-9
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
11.0
12.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
6.2
2.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.7
4.0
15.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.8
25.6
1
3-7
47%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.4
7.2
0
1-2
42%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.7
5.3
0
1-1
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.