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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies26%8867
3Spurs74%9678
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.8
36.9
32.9
4
20%
5
7
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.5
31.3
32.3
6
31%
2
7
1
2
3
2
1
1
2-4
50%
2-7
3-8
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
29.7
29.4
10
33%
8
2
2
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-15
6-12
33%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.9
27.7
25.5
10
56%
2
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
25.0
25.3
8
44%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
43%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
27.8
24.4
12
45%
4
3
3
1
1
4
2
2
2-3
67%
5-12
4-10
42%
42%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.3
23.0
21.8
7
90%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.1
23.0
21.3
10
42%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
15.6
16.0
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.1
6.8
0
0-1
40%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.5
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.1
3.0
0
0-1
33%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
38.6
28.9
10
45%
15
0
0
1
4
1
6
9
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.6
37.5
35.8
18
59%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
3-4
75%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
34.9
33.1
7
30%
7
8
3
2
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
33.2
35.0
21
54%
13
0
3
1
1
6
6
7
5-10
50%
8-15
8-15
53%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.5
32.1
29.7
7
36%
4
1
1
1
1
4
0
4
2-4
50%
1-6
1-3
17%
44%
1-2
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
21.9
20.0
4
29%
4
1
2
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.3
18.0
17.5
7
52%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-2
1-4
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
10.5
12.2
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
8.4
7.7
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.3
3.8
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
1.0
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.1
5.9
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.