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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 16, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hawks42%9379
28Heat58%9697
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
35.7
36.7
13
46%
2
1
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
46%
3-8
38%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.0
34.8
36.9
16
38%
9
3
1
1
1
2
4
5
6-7
86%
5-18
7-14
28%
48%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.8
34.8
28.8
4
50%
7
9
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
26.7
25.9
11
46%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
26.5
26.7
12
58%
3
0
0
1
3
0
0
3
2-3
67%
5-9
2-6
56%
44%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.1
26.6
24.9
9
51%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
42%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
21.5
19.2
6
48%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
4-5
80%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
14.4
10.6
2
33%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
8.8
9.3
6
43%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
6.5
2.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.2
3.9
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
37%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
16.7
0
1-3
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
39.5
39.7
19
65%
12
5
2
1
1
2
0
12
5-6
83%
4-8
6-13
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.9
38.3
36.1
32
69%
6
8
1
1
1
1
4
2
2-3
67%
15-21
6-13
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
34.0
37.1
22
81%
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
5
6-8
75%
5-6
4-9
83%
45%
2-4
50%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
33.0
32.6
4
22%
12
1
0
1
1
1
5
7
0-0
-
2-9
5-10
22%
49%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.8
28.4
25.4
4
25%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
43%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
28.3
28.0
6
20%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
42%
2-10
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
19.8
14.9
4
34%
8
1
0
0
1
2
5
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.5
15.0
5.5
4
46%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
2-3
67%
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
1.9
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
1.9
9.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.6
1.8
0
0-0
39%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
1.6
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.