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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors53%10193
27Magic47%100119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
33.4
31.5
13
39%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-8
25%
4-9
5-10
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.0
33.3
31.5
19
73%
4
1
0
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
8-11
3-8
73%
43%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.4
31.1
22.7
11
89%
11
2
0
0
0
4
1
10
5-5
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
29.3
28.9
8
34%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
28.5
30.6
4
25%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.4
25.1
20.7
8
67%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.6
24.4
23.7
10
42%
3
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
46%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 23.6
16.2
15.2
10
87%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
14.1
24.5
10
69%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
4.6
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.7
1.4
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
37.3
40.0
29
59%
7
12
0
2
1
2
1
6
3-4
75%
10-16
7-15
63%
47%
2-7
29%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
34.6
32.6
17
65%
2
0
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.4
33.7
20.8
11
55%
2
12
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.9
33.2
34.4
18
61%
9
3
1
1
0
3
2
7
6-6
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.9
15.8
15.9
4
100%
3
0
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
31.6
29.7
25
60%
13
2
2
1
4
0
6
7
2-4
50%
10-18
5-11
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
24.1
12.0
11
79%
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
3-4
75%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.7
14.3
20.2
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.9
12.1
11.2
4
33%
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
3.3
3.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
12.5
0
1-3
45%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.3
7.8
0
1-2
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.