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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Clippers29%9085
12Rockets71%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.7
37.4
29.1
20
56%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
4-10
3-8
40%
41%
4-7
57%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
36.6
33.5
11
40%
11
3
3
1
1
3
4
7
3-4
75%
4-11
6-12
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 25.0
29.7
32.6
6
27%
1
5
0
2
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.6
27.6
27.3
5
30%
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
1
1-1
100%
2-8
3-8
25%
43%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
22.5
29.3
16
71%
4
1
0
1
0
6
0
4
3-3
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
1-3
33%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
35.1
20.1
9
44%
8
3
6
1
0
0
3
5
1-3
33%
4-9
2-5
44%
39%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
16.3
17.1
10
52%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
4-6
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.4
12.9
18.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
37%
0-2
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
9.3
7.7
6
51%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
6.0
7.1
2
26%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.6
3.5
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 36.6
3.2
9.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.8
38.9
38.1
16
50%
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-11
6-13
36%
46%
2-4
50%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
36.4
34.4
12
55%
12
3
0
1
1
2
0
12
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.3
36.4
30.3
21
67%
10
4
0
0
5
1
4
6
3-6
50%
9-13
5-10
69%
51%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.3
34.9
36.3
22
69%
7
2
1
1
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
48%
2-5
40%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.3
29.7
24.6
6
51%
6
3
2
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.1
21.9
27.1
13
53%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
3-5
60%
5-10
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.2
18.0
18.4
7
60%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
13.6
9.9
2
29%
4
0
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.7
8.0
10.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.5
2.3
3.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 22.6
2.6
0
0-1
48%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33.1
2.0
0
0-0
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.