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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 20, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets45%9287
21Suns55%94102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
40.5
34.7
9
28%
9
2
1
1
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
3-12
3-6
25%
43%
1-4
25%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.3
40.3
35.4
16
43%
3
4
1
1
0
4
1
2
6-6
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
2-7
29%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.8
39.8
38.0
14
44%
7
5
1
1
0
6
3
4
3-7
43%
4-8
5-12
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.3
36.4
26.5
16
71%
14
1
3
1
3
0
3
11
4-5
80%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.3
19.8
32.5
14
69%
4
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
6-7
86%
4-7
5-11
57%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.1
33.6
25.0
10
51%
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.2
21.4
18.1
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
8.2
11.5
2
35%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.7
9.3
0
1-2
44%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.5
3.6
0
0-1
42%
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 22.6
2.2
0
0-1
46%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 33.1
2.1
0
0-1
34%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.8
43.1
39.5
25
75%
1
7
2
1
0
6
0
1
5-6
83%
7-10
6-14
70%
46%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 25.6
40.6
40.3
25
56%
11
5
5
2
3
1
3
8
7-8
88%
9-16
6-13
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
38.3
36.8
16
43%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
6-16
4-10
38%
43%
1-2
50%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.8
30.4
15.5
5
38%
10
0
0
0
4
2
1
9
3-6
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 35.7
11.2
16.1
6
75%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.4
29.0
26.5
8
44%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
24.1
18.2
12
76%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
2-4
50%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
14.1
27.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.1
9.1
8.4
5
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.0
6.0
0
1-2
41%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
2.1
0
0-1
42%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 24.2
0.6
0
0-0
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.