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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 21, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Suns17%97101
3Lakers83%109107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.8
45.0
40.6
31
58%
6
11
1
1
0
2
1
5
6-8
75%
11-17
6-14
65%
44%
1-6
17%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 25.6
44.5
40.1
23
53%
10
2
4
2
2
1
4
6
2-2
100%
9-17
6-14
53%
45%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
40.6
37.1
20
44%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
8-19
5-11
42%
41%
1-3
33%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.8
24.8
21.2
11
50%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
3-7
43%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 35.8
6.5
14.2
0
0%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.4
29.9
27.5
0
0%
7
6
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-5
3-8
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
21.7
20.7
5
42%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
20.5
22.3
8
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.1
6.6
8.9
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.0
5.2
0
1-2
40%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
2.3
0
0-1
40%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 24.2
0.8
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.3
39.6
33.5
10
38%
6
4
0
1
0
4
3
3
2-3
67%
4-10
6-12
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.3
37.5
28.7
19
63%
9
3
2
1
2
0
2
7
0-0
-
8-11
3-5
73%
48%
1-4
25%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.8
36.3
35.5
18
56%
18
4
1
1
1
5
6
12
8-14
57%
5-10
7-13
50%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.4
29.8
31.5
19
70%
4
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
2-2
100%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.4
4.0
27.9
3
39%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
28.8
19.9
14
64%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
3-4
75%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.4
18.4
21.4
11
79%
1
4
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
16.6
7.1
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.5
11.6
10.9
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.7
10.7
16.6
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
6.7
1.8
5
102%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.2
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.