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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 22, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz44%9492
28Bulls56%9680
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.8
37.8
26.7
2
20%
9
1
0
0
0
4
2
7
0-2
0%
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
36.7
33.9
26
83%
16
3
1
2
2
2
6
10
6-6
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
50%
2-3
67%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.6
35.0
31.6
15
42%
14
2
1
1
0
3
5
9
3-4
75%
6-15
5-10
40%
50%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.7
31.1
26.6
18
82%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
9-11
5-10
82%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.4
30.5
25.4
14
66%
1
8
2
1
1
8
0
1
6-6
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.1
24.3
11.9
5
36%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
16.9
20.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
15.7
21.6
8
57%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.1
10.2
18.9
2
114%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.0
1.9
10.9
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
40%
0-0
-
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 30.1
11.2
0
1-3
47%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 23.3
3.6
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.0
37.0
37.4
11
46%
3
6
2
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
1-6
17%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.6
30.7
28.6
13
42%
3
0
3
1
2
0
2
1
7-10
70%
3-11
4-10
27%
43%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.6
28.0
29.3
12
55%
11
1
0
1
0
1
9
2
6-9
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.1
27.3
32.7
10
40%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
4-6
67%
3-10
3-8
30%
42%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
26.2
38.0
12
42%
3
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
2-3
67%
5-11
5-11
45%
45%
0-2
0%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.5
27.8
17.1
11
50%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
7-7
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35.0
19.6
16.3
2
50%
3
0
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.4
19.0
16.9
4
25%
3
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.7
15.3
7.8
5
87%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
8.0
6.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
1.1
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.0
9.2
0
2-3
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.