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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 22, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies51%10099
18Nuggets49%99106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.3
40.8
23.1
15
50%
14
4
0
1
2
2
7
7
1-2
50%
7-12
2-4
58%
49%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
40.5
30.9
24
56%
14
3
0
1
5
3
6
8
0-3
0%
12-20
6-13
60%
49%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.9
37.5
25.1
20
54%
6
6
3
1
2
1
1
5
6-8
75%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
2-6
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.8
31.5
26.1
6
43%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.5
21.4
29.7
4
52%
2
6
0
2
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.1
26.6
16.0
15
56%
4
3
3
1
0
5
2
2
0-1
0%
3-9
1-3
33%
43%
3-4
75%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
22.7
23.4
11
42%
3
0
0
1
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
4-11
4-10
36%
44%
1-2
50%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
14.1
17.4
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.5
5.0
3.6
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.1
25.8
1
4-9
47%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
17.4
0
3-6
45%
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.1
1.4
0
0-0
36%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.6
40.6
32.8
24
76%
5
4
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
42%
3-4
75%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.6
39.2
18.7
12
45%
4
5
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
38.9
30.4
21
53%
5
10
1
1
0
1
0
5
9-11
82%
6-13
4-9
46%
45%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.3
37.6
28.8
16
78%
4
2
0
1
3
3
1
3
2-5
40%
7-8
4-7
88%
52%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.6
37.5
34.7
15
36%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
5-9
56%
5-17
5-13
29%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
17.7
11.4
6
60%
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
14.0
16.2
10
78%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.1
7.9
9.0
0
0%
1
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
3.6
5.1
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Trepagnier
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
3.1
12.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
26.5
1
3-7
43%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.7
6.1
0
1-2
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.