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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 25, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Rockets33%9599
5Lakers67%10087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.8
41.2
40.0
22
49%
9
7
2
2
0
2
2
7
8-10
80%
7-14
6-13
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.3
40.1
35.3
15
51%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-10
4-8
30%
45%
2-3
67%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
36.0
37.1
18
65%
6
1
1
1
1
0
0
6
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
42%
2-2
100%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.3
35.2
29.2
5
51%
8
1
1
1
3
3
1
7
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.3
28.9
30.2
18
60%
8
2
0
0
2
3
5
3
2-2
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.2
27.6
26.6
14
59%
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
6-11
4-10
55%
43%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.2
15.1
19.2
4
37%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
11.7
8.5
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 22.6
3.5
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.7
0.8
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.5
2.4
0
0-0
41%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 24.6
0.9
0
0-0
33%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.3
43.3
36.5
23
40%
8
6
2
1
0
3
3
5
4-6
67%
8-24
6-12
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.8
41.5
36.6
22
55%
10
2
0
1
3
2
5
5
12-18
67%
5-12
7-13
42%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.4
40.5
30.8
13
51%
4
7
4
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.3
29.4
27.6
11
42%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.7
23.2
22.8
10
45%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.5
30.2
12.8
2
25%
11
2
1
0
0
0
2
9
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.4
15.6
17.4
3
19%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-3
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
12.4
22.0
3
150%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
1-1
100%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
2.7
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
1.1
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.4
10.2
0
1-3
46%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
5.1
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.