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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 26, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat51%9292
30Wizards49%9184
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
37.6
35.1
22
69%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-9
63%
44%
4-8
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.9
37.1
38.2
17
62%
3
3
2
1
1
5
0
3
5-6
83%
6-11
6-15
55%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
34.5
30.1
14
70%
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
47%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
34.3
37.2
17
46%
8
4
1
1
1
3
3
5
1-1
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
46%
0-3
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.8
26.6
25.0
1
9%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-5
3-7
0%
40%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
21.4
6.6
10
100%
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
2-2
100%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
21.2
27.1
9
58%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
39%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
13.7
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.5
13.4
15.2
2
36%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.9
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
1.7
0
0-1
41%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.7
1.5
0
0-0
36%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.9
40.9
37.2
21
41%
7
3
1
2
0
2
3
4
8-10
80%
5-17
6-13
29%
45%
1-4
25%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
37.9
33.5
14
50%
6
4
4
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.8
33.0
28.5
9
64%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
41%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.1
25.9
32.3
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-8
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.7
25.4
30.0
13
51%
10
1
1
1
2
2
5
5
5-6
83%
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.8
24.1
15.0
10
73%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.1
22.6
9.8
11
54%
2
3
0
0
2
1
1
1
3-5
60%
4-8
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.1
15.1
11.9
4
69%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.0
8.0
6.1
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.2
7.1
16.5
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.4
17.6
1
2-4
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.