Final Win Prob. pScore
2751%92
92
3049%91
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
102.29087.4
WAS logo Wizards
95.58891.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0WASMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 292
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHeat Rebound92
84
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 292
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0WASHughes P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
84
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHeat Rebound92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0WASMISS Jeffries 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)92
84
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0WASBlake P.FOUL (P4.PN)90
84
Q4 - 0:36.0WASHughes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)90
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0WASHughes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 0:41.0WASMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)90
97.8%
84
2.2%
Q4 - 1:20WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
90.1%
84
9.9%
Q4 - 1:20WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
91.1%
83
8.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade87
82
Q4 - 1:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)87
82
Q4 - 1:20MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.PN)87
82
Q4 - 1:27WASThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)87
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
94.4%
82
5.6%
Q4 - 1:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
95.8%
82
4.2%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
93.6%
82
6.4%
Q4 - 1:37MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
95.5%
82
4.5%
Q4 - 1:46WASMISS Thomas 4' Jump Shot87
93.8%
82
6.2%
Q4 - 1:46WASThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
91.3%
82
8.7%
Q4 - 1:47WASMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot87
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 1:52WASSUB: Blake FOR Knight87
82
Q4 - 1:52WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)87
82
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
91.0%
82
9.0%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
90.1%
82
9.9%
Q4 - 1:52WASSUB: Hayes FOR Brown85
82
Q4 - 1:52WASBrown S.FOUL (P3.T3)85
82
Q4 - 2:12MIAHeat Rebound85
87.9%
82
12.1%
Q4 - 2:13WASMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot85
85.6%
82
14.4%
Q4 - 2:32WASKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
78.6%
82
21.4%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q4 - 2:51WASThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)85
82
Q4 - 2:51WASJump Ball Thomas vs. Butler: Tip to Butler85
85.8%
82
14.2%
Q4 - 2:5185
82
Q4 - 3:07MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)85
77.5%
82
22.5%
Q4 - 3:26WASJeffries Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)83
72.0%
82
28.0%
Q4 - 3:47MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)83
57.9%
82
42.1%
Q4 - 3:54WASHughes L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)81
82
Q4 - 3:54MIAHeat Rebound81
49.1%
82
50.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot81
42.0%
82
58.0%
Q4 - 3:57WASSUB: Jeffries FOR Hayes81
82
Q4 - 3:57MIAHeat Rebound81
49.1%
82
50.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)81
41.9%
82
58.1%
Q4 - 4:11WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
49.1%
82
50.9%
Q4 - 4:11WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)81
52.1%
81
47.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.PN)81
80
Q4 - 4:31MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)81
58.1%
80
41.9%
Q4 - 4:52WASKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
39.3%
80
60.7%
Q4 - 4:52WASKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
41.8%
79
58.2%
Q4 - 4:52MIASUB: Wade FOR Alston78
78
Q4 - 4:52MIAOdom P.FOUL (P5.PN)78
78
Q4 - 5:13MIAJones 21' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)78
48.7%
78
51.3%
Q4 - 5:31WASKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)76
40.7%
78
59.3%
Q4 - 5:43MIAAlston L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)76
78
Q4 - 5:43WASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
32.4%
78
67.6%
Q4 - 5:44WASMISS Hayes 15' Jump Shot76
38.1%
78
61.9%
Q4 - 5:51WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
78
Q4 - 5:53WASKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
32.4%
78
67.6%
Q4 - 5:55WASMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot76
38.0%
78
62.0%
Q4 - 6:14WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
34.7%
78
65.3%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
36.9%
78
63.1%
Q4 - 6:32WASSUB: Thomas FOR Haywood76
78
Q4 - 6:32WASBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)76
42.1%
78
57.9%
Q4 - 6:46WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
34.6%
78
65.4%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot76
36.8%
78
63.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
42.1%
78
57.9%
Q4 - 6:59WASMISS Haywood 9' Jump Shot76
39.7%
78
60.3%
Q4 - 7:14MIAOdom 1' Layup (17 PTS)76
36.0%
78
64.0%
Q4 - 7:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
30.2%
78
69.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot74
26.0%
78
74.0%
Q4 - 7:37MIASUB: Odom FOR Haslem74
78
Q4 - 7:37WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)74
30.2%
78
69.8%
Q4 - 7:37WASSUB: Knight FOR Butler74
77
Q4 - 7:37WASSUB: Hayes FOR Blake74
77
Q4 - 7:37MIAAlston S.FOUL (P1.T3)74
77
Q4 - 7:37WASHaywood 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)74
36.4%
77
63.6%
Q4 - 7:59MIAButler 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)74
42.6%
75
57.4%
Q4 - 8:16WASButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)72
37.5%
75
62.5%
Q4 - 8:29MIASUB: Grant FOR Woods72
75
Q4 - 8:29MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T2)72
75
Q4 - 8:54MIAButler 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)72
31.7%
75
68.3%
Q4 - 9:13WASBrown 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)70
28.0%
75
72.0%
Q4 - 9:29WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot70
34.9%
73
65.1%
Q4 - 9:45MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)70
73
Q4 - 9:52WASBlake 16' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haywood 3 AST)70
38.6%
73
61.4%
Q4 - 10:07MIAWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
45.0%
71
55.0%
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound69
71
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 269
43.4%
71
56.6%
Q4 - 10:07WASBrown S.FOUL (P2.T1)69
71
Q4 - 10:24WASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
44.9%
71
55.1%
Q4 - 10:24WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
46.4%
70
53.6%
Q4 - 10:24MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom69
69
Q4 - 10:24MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler69
69
Q4 - 10:24MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade69
69
Q4 - 10:24MIAOdom P.FOUL (P4.T1)69
69
Q4 - 10:43WASHaywood Violation:Defensive Goaltending69
69
Q4 - 10:43MIAAlston 1' Layup (7 PTS)69
50.7%
69
49.3%
Q4 - 10:57WASHughes Tip Shot (19 PTS)67
44.9%
69
55.1%
Q4 - 10:58WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
50.7%
67
49.3%
Q4 - 11:00WASMISS Hughes 3' Layup67
54.6%
67
45.4%
Q4 - 11:14WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q4 - 11:15WASMISS Butler 2' Layup67
54.3%
67
45.7%
Q4 - 11:16WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q4 - 11:18WASMISS Haywood 10' Jump Shot67
54.3%
67
45.7%
Q4 - 11:36WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot67
52.4%
67
47.6%
Q4 - 12:0067
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
55.9%
67
44.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound67
55.3%
67
44.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot67
52.2%
67
47.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0WASHughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Blake 7 AST)67
55.4%
67
44.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0WASHaywood Violation:Defensive Goaltending67
64
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS)67
65.7%
64
34.3%
Q3 - 1:02WASHughes 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)65
59.8%
64
40.2%
Q3 - 1:20WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
64.8%
62
35.2%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Odom 22' Jump Shot65
66.1%
62
33.9%
Q3 - 1:44WASBrown Layup (6 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST)65
68.8%
62
31.2%
Q3 - 1:58WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
73.3%
60
26.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 265
72.5%
60
27.5%
Q3 - 2:01MIAWoods Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
74.6%
60
25.4%
Q3 - 2:01WASHaywood S.FOUL (P2.PN)64
60
Q3 - 2:01MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot64
69.3%
60
30.7%
Q3 - 2:25WASBrown 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)64
72.1%
60
27.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
75.8%
58
24.2%
Q3 - 2:41MIAHeat Rebound63
58
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 263
75.2%
58
24.8%
Q3 - 2:41WASButler S.FOUL (P1.T4)63
58
Q3 - 2:56WASBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)63
75.7%
58
24.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones63
58
Q3 - 3:08WASSUB: Haywood FOR Thomas63
58
Q3 - 3:13WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
71.4%
58
28.6%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Woods 1' Layup63
72.6%
58
27.4%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
75.2%
58
24.8%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot63
72.6%
58
27.4%
Q3 - 3:39WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
75.2%
58
24.8%
Q3 - 3:39MIASUB: Woods FOR Grant63
57
Q3 - 3:39WASWIZARDS Rebound63
57
Q3 - 3:39WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 263
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q3 - 3:39WASSUB: Butler FOR Hayes63
57
Q3 - 3:39MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T1)63
57
Q3 - 3:42WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
75.0%
57
25.0%
Q3 - 3:44MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)63
76.1%
57
23.9%
Q3 - 4:03WASThomas 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)63
77.8%
57
22.2%
Q3 - 4:17WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
80.2%
55
19.8%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Butler 3' Layup63
81.2%
55
18.8%
Q3 - 4:25WASBrown P.FOUL (P1.T3)63
55
Q3 - 4:36WASSUB: Brown FOR Jeffries63
55
Q3 - 4:36WASHughes Foul Turnover (P1.T9)63
83.3%
55
16.7%
Q3 - 4:36WASHughes OFF.Foul (P1)63
55
Q3 - 4:39MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)63
80.3%
55
19.7%
Q3 - 4:52WASThomas L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)63
55
Q3 - 4:52MIAHeat Rebound63
83.3%
55
16.7%
Q3 - 4:52WASMISS Jeffries 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
82.4%
55
17.6%
Q3 - 5:17WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
55
Q3 - 5:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
79.2%
55
20.8%
Q3 - 5:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
73.5%
55
26.5%
Q3 - 5:27WASMISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot60
72.4%
55
27.6%
Q3 - 5:44MIAOdom 1' Layup (15 PTS)60
69.8%
55
30.2%
Q3 - 5:45MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot58
63.6%
55
36.4%
Q3 - 5:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 6:00WASMISS Thomas 3' Jump Shot58
65.3%
55
34.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAOdom 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)58
62.0%
55
38.0%
Q3 - 6:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)56
55
Q3 - 6:50WASThomas 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Hayes 4 AST)56
58.5%
55
41.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)56
61.3%
53
38.7%
Q3 - 7:27WASThomas Dunk (7 PTS)56
65.1%
53
34.9%
Q3 - 7:28WASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)56
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 7:30WASMISS Thomas 1' Layup56
70.8%
51
29.2%
Q3 - 7:51WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot56
69.5%
51
30.5%
Q3 - 8:15WASBlake 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)56
71.3%
51
28.7%
Q3 - 8:20WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
74.1%
49
25.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
75.0%
49
25.0%
Q3 - 8:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
77.1%
49
22.9%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot56
75.0%
49
25.0%
Q3 - 8:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
77.1%
49
22.9%
Q3 - 8:37WASMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot56
76.2%
49
23.8%
Q3 - 8:40MIAGrant Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)56
74.1%
49
25.9%
Q3 - 8:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
77.1%
49
22.9%
Q3 - 8:40WASMISS Hayes 9' Jump Shot56
76.2%
49
23.8%
Q3 - 8:59MIAOdom 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)56
74.1%
49
25.9%
Q3 - 9:16WASHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
70.9%
49
29.1%
Q3 - 9:28MIAOdom 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)54
67.7%
49
32.3%
Q3 - 9:51WASHayes 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)52
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q3 - 10:16MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)52
70.2%
46
29.8%
Q3 - 10:16WASJeffries S.FOUL (P3.T1)51
46
Q3 - 10:16MIAOdom 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
67.2%
46
32.8%
Q3 - 10:35WASBlake 18' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hayes 3 AST)49
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)49
67.2%
44
32.8%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
63.9%
44
36.1%
Q3 - 11:03WASMISS Hughes 10' Jump Shot47
62.8%
44
37.2%
Q3 - 11:04WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q3 - 11:06WASMISS Hughes 11' Jump Shot47
62.8%
44
37.2%
Q3 - 11:27MIAOdom 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)47
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
63.9%
44
36.1%
Q3 - 11:45WASMISS Hughes 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
62.8%
44
37.2%
Q3 - 12:0047
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
63.9%
44
36.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
61.5%
44
38.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
63.2%
44
36.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
63.8%
43
36.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
42
Q2 - 0:21.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot47
67.7%
42
32.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0WASSUB: Knight FOR Blake47
42
Q2 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Woods FOR Grant47
42
Q2 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade47
42
Q2 - 0:39.0WASBlake P.FOUL (P3.T3)47
42
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
69.3%
42
30.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0WASMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 1:05MIAGrant 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
66.8%
42
33.2%
Q2 - 1:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 1:17WASMISS Hayes 12' Jump Shot45
62.3%
42
37.7%
Q2 - 1:40MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)45
60.7%
42
39.3%
Q2 - 1:55WASJeffries Foul Turnover (P1.T7)43
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q2 - 1:55WASJeffries OFF.Foul (P2)43
42
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade Driving Dunk (11 PTS)43
53.7%
42
46.3%
Q2 - 2:32WASThomas 1' Layup (5 PTS)41
50.6%
42
49.4%
Q2 - 2:34WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 2:35WASMISS Hughes 12' Jump Shot41
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 2:40WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot41
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q2 - 3:04WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
57.2%
40
42.8%
Q2 - 3:04WASWIZARDS Rebound41
39
Q2 - 3:04WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 241
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)41
39
Q2 - 3:22MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)41
56.6%
39
43.4%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 3:29WASMISS Thomas 3' Jump Shot39
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 3:44WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
50.4%
39
49.6%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot39
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 3:54WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 3:54WASWIZARDS Rebound39
38
Q2 - 3:54WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 239
55.0%
38
45.0%
Q2 - 3:54MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.PN)39
38
Q2 - 3:56WASSUB: Hughes FOR Dixon39
38
Q2 - 3:56WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
38
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)39
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q2 - 4:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
50.8%
38
49.2%
Q2 - 4:08WASMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
49.8%
38
50.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T4)37
38
Q2 - 4:26WASWIZARDS Rebound37
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot37
48.5%
38
51.5%
Q2 - 4:36WASDixon P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
38
Q2 - 4:48WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
50.8%
38
49.2%
Q2 - 4:48MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom37
37
Q2 - 4:48WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 4:48MIAOdom S.FOUL (P3.T3)37
36
Q2 - 4:53MIAHayes STEAL (4 STL)37
53.6%
36
46.4%
Q2 - 4:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 4:58WASMISS Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
55.9%
36
44.1%
Q2 - 5:07WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
53.9%
36
46.1%
Q2 - 5:08WASMISS Hayes 6' Jump Shot37
55.9%
36
44.1%
Q2 - 5:32MIAOdom 1' Layup (4 PTS)37
53.9%
36
46.1%
Q2 - 5:47WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)35
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
47.6%
36
52.4%
Q2 - 6:20WASJeffries P.FOUL (P1.T1)33
36
Q2 - 6:22WASSUB: Jeffries FOR Brown33
36
Q2 - 6:22MIASUB: Jones FOR Alston33
36
Q2 - 6:22MIASUB: Grant FOR Woods33
36
Q2 - 6:22MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)33
36
Q2 - 6:22WASSUB: Thomas FOR Haywood33
36
Q2 - 6:22MIAHeat Rebound33
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 6:22MIAHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)33
43.0%
36
57.0%
Q2 - 6:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 6:31WASMISS Haywood 4' Jump Shot33
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 6:39WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot33
43.0%
36
57.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 6:50WASMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 7:07MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler33
36
Q2 - 7:07WASSUB: Blake FOR Knight33
36
Q2 - 7:07MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)33
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 7:11WASMISS Brown 1' Layup33
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 7:12WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 7:14WASMISS Dixon 17' Jump Shot33
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 7:21WASKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot33
43.3%
36
56.7%
Q2 - 7:42WASHaywood 3' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)33
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 7:48MIADixon STEAL (1 STL)33
48.0%
34
52.0%
Q2 - 7:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
50.9%
34
49.1%
Q2 - 7:59WASMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot33
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAHayes STEAL (3 STL)33
48.2%
34
51.8%
Q2 - 8:29WASHaywood Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)33
50.9%
34
49.1%
Q2 - 8:46WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
54.5%
32
45.5%
Q2 - 8:5833
32
Q2 - 8:58WASKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
56.3%
32
43.7%
Q2 - 9:02MIAKnight STEAL (2 STL)33
53.3%
32
46.7%
Q2 - 9:15MIAHeat Rebound33
56.0%
32
44.0%
Q2 - 9:15WASMISS Dixon 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
55.2%
32
44.8%
Q2 - 9:28MIAWoods P.FOUL (P1.T2)33
32
Q2 - 9:45MIAWade 4' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)33
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q2 - 10:05WASHaywood 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)31
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 10:13MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)31
53.3%
30
46.7%
Q2 - 10:32WASBrown 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
56.0%
30
44.0%
Q2 - 10:50MIAOdom 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)31
58.4%
28
41.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
55.7%
28
44.3%
Q2 - 11:04WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 229
55.4%
28
44.6%
Q2 - 11:04WASWIZARDS Rebound29
28
Q2 - 11:04WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 229
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 11:04WASSUB: Dixon FOR Hughes29
28
Q2 - 11:04MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
28
Q2 - 11:05WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q2 - 11:07WASMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot29
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q2 - 11:25MIAAlston 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q2 - 11:35MIAWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 11:37WASMISS Haywood 6' Jump Shot27
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 12:0027
28
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS27
48.1%
28
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)27
48.1%
28
51.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASHaywood P.FOUL (P1.T4)25
28
Q1 - 0:09.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
45.3%
28
54.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0WASHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
45.8%
27
54.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)25
26
Q1 - 0:24.0WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
48.3%
26
51.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot25
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
50.2%
26
49.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0WASMISS Hughes 11' Jump Shot25
49.6%
26
50.4%
Q1 - 1:10MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
43.2%
26
56.8%
Q1 - 1:29WASMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q1 - 1:48MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)22
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q1 - 2:04WASHughes 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)19
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q1 - 2:23MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q1 - 2:28MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q1 - 2:30WASMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot16
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHayes STEAL (2 STL)16
33.1%
24
66.9%
Q1 - 2:55WASHughes 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade16
22
Q1 - 3:21MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T4)16
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 3:21MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)16
22
Q1 - 3:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
22
Q1 - 3:37WASKnight 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)16
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q1 - 3:46WASSUB: Knight FOR Blake15
20
Q1 - 3:46WASSUB: Brown FOR Jeffries15
20
Q1 - 3:46MIAHeat Rebound15
20
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 215
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 3:46WASBlake S.FOUL (P2.T3)15
20
Q1 - 4:06WASHayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)15
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q1 - 4:14WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
46.5%
17
53.5%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot15
47.1%
17
52.9%
Q1 - 4:22WASBlake P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
17
Q1 - 4:40WASHayes 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)15
48.7%
17
51.3%
Q1 - 4:57MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)15
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 5:11WASHaywood Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 5:16WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
15
Q1 - 5:16MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
15
Q1 - 5:32MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 5:51WASHayes 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)11
45.0%
15
55.0%
Q1 - 5:55MIABlake STEAL (1 STL)11
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 6:08WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 6:08MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler11
12
Q1 - 6:08MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom11
12
Q1 - 6:08WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 6:08MIAOdom S.FOUL (P2.T2)11
11
Q1 - 6:25MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 6:42WASHayes 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)9
48.7%
11
51.3%
Q1 - 7:01MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
50.3%
9
49.7%
Q1 - 7:15WASHayes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)7
48.8%
9
51.2%
Q1 - 7:20WASBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
47.0%
9
53.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)7
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 7:38WASHughes 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)7
48.9%
9
51.1%
Q1 - 7:54MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)7
50.3%
7
49.7%
Q1 - 8:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 8:07WASMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot4
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 8:22WASSUB: Haywood FOR Thomas3
7
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
45.7%
7
54.3%
Q1 - 8:22WASThomas S.FOUL (P2.T1)2
7
Q1 - 8:26WASHayes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)2
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 8:42WASThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
44.8%
7
55.2%
Q1 - 8:42WASThomas OFF.Foul (P1)2
7
Q1 - 8:58WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.8%
7
56.2%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot2
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 9:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.7%
7
54.3%
Q1 - 9:10WASMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot2
45.4%
7
54.6%
Q1 - 9:17WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.8%
7
55.2%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot2
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 9:39WASJeffries 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
46.2%
7
53.8%
Q1 - 9:45WASWIZARDS Rebound2
47.5%
5
52.5%
Q1 - 9:45WASMISS Thomas 3' Layup2
48.1%
5
51.9%
Q1 - 10:00WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot2
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.9%
5
51.1%
Q1 - 10:14WASMISS Hayes 3' Layup2
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 10:15WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
48.1%
5
51.9%
Q1 - 10:17WASMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot2
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 10:21WASBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
48.5%
5
51.5%
Q1 - 10:45WASBlake 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)2
49.2%
5
50.8%
Q1 - 10:48WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 10:50WASMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 10:53MIAOdom P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:16MIAGrant 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Grant 3' Layup0
49.7%
2
50.3%
Q1 - 11:39WASHayes 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)0
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 11:45MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)0
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Thomas vs. Grant: Tip to Wade0
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.9%
WAS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
21
71%
WAS
17
28
61%
Midrange
MIA
15
39
38%
WAS
9
31
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
WAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
11
17
65%
WAS
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2269%11.0 / 16
D. Wade1761%8.5 / 14
L. Odom1745%8.5 / 19
B. Grant1470%7.0 / 10
R. Butler10100%5.0 / 5
R. Alston956%4.5 / 8
L. Woods233%1.0 / 3
C. Butler18%0.5 / 6
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Hughes2140%10.5 / 26
J. Hayes1450%7.0 / 14
E. Thomas1350%6.5 / 13
B. Haywood1150%5.5 / 11
K. Brown1071%5.0 / 7
S. Blake964%4.5 / 7
B. Knight467%2.0 / 3
J. Jeffries233%1.0 / 3
M. Butler0-0.0 / 1
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+12
-15
87
WAS
73
+16
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.9%
WAS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
95.6
MIA 102.2 +6.8
WAS 95.5
Pace
90.6
95.4
MIA 87.4
WAS 91.8 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.8
MIA 16.5
WAS 15.7 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.4%
MIA 54.0% +11.3%
WAS 42.7%
TO %
14.4%
17.4%
MIA 15.4% −0.3%
WAS 15.7%
ORB %
27.5%
30.7%
MIA 20.6%
WAS 36.6% +16.0%
FTrt
29.8
33.7
MIA 22.7
WAS 33.3 +10.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
55.7%
MIA 48.6%
WAS 70.0% +21.4%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 6.7%
WAS 11.4% +4.7%
BLK %
6.3%
7.4%
MIA 5.1%
WAS 6.7% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
47.4%
MIA 52.9% +6.2%
WAS 46.7%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.8%
MIA 71.4% +10.7%
WAS 60.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
34.5%
MIA 38.5% +9.5%
WAS 29.0%
3P %
35.7%
34.2%
MIA 46.7% +21.7%
WAS 25.0%
FT %
76.2%
71.4%
MIA 64.7%
WAS 80.0% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
37.6%
MIA 28.0%
WAS 37.3% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
43.0%
MIA 52.0%
WAS 41.3% −10.7%
3P Att. %
21.1%
19.4%
MIA 20.0%
WAS 21.3% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes24.723.0
Points9284
Rebounds3342
Assists1821
Steals610
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)27 (1)
Field Goals37-7530-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2117-28
Midrange FG15-399-31
2-Point FG30-6026-59
3-Point FG7-154-16
Free Throws11-1720-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
37.6
22
69%
3
8
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
4-8
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
37.1
17
61%
3
3
2
1
5
2
0
3
5-6
83%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
34.5
14
70%
5
0
1
0
3
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
34.3
17
45%
8
4
1
1
3
5
3
5
1-1
100%
8-15
53%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
26.6
1
8%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
21.4
10
100%
3
0
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
21.2
9
56%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
13.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
13.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
53%
33
18
6
3
15
0
7
26
11-17
65%
30-60
50%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.