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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 26, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hawks24%9279
10Hornets76%101109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.0
23.9
36.0
7
37%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
1-1
100%
3-8
7-14
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
23.9
34.7
2
20%
2
3
1
2
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-9
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
22.0
27.3
6
75%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
21.5
35.8
6
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
0-4
0%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
19.9
26.2
9
64%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.9
24.9
21.9
5
73%
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
24.3
8.7
10
74%
7
2
0
0
0
4
2
5
2-4
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
24.1
18.7
12
52%
4
0
0
1
1
0
4
0
4-6
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
23.8
16.1
4
34%
3
0
0
0
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
44%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.3
17.3
2.0
6
43%
5
3
2
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
8.5
9.3
7
117%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
40%
1-1
100%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
6.0
5.9
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-1
100%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.7
35.5
39.1
21
53%
2
8
4
2
4
3
1
1
3-4
75%
6-12
6-12
50%
47%
2-6
33%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.2
33.0
36.8
16
81%
9
3
1
1
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
7-9
5-11
78%
51%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.4
32.5
6.5
8
68%
4
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
42%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.1
31.4
29.8
32
85%
2
6
3
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
8-11
4-9
73%
45%
5-7
71%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
28.1
34.0
8
41%
11
2
1
1
1
1
3
8
2-4
50%
3-8
4-9
38%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.5
24.3
26.2
4
33%
3
8
6
2
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.7
16.0
8.9
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.3
15.6
9.0
6
44%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
13.3
6.3
3
26%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26.9
6.0
8.1
11
79%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.3
4.3
1.2
0
0%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.3
30.8
1
2-4
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.