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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 26, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic11%8783
3Spurs89%10298
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
42.2
40.7
24
49%
8
4
0
1
2
4
0
8
8-8
100%
8-15
7-16
53%
43%
0-6
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.9
34.5
34.4
13
47%
3
1
3
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-13
5-13
46%
41%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
31.5
29.4
10
56%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
42%
2-4
50%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.9
24.8
13.9
8
100%
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.5
21.8
24.1
6
51%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-6
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
27.1
34.6
8
40%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-10
6-13
40%
41%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
24.4
22.0
6
43%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
42%
0-3
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
22.8
19.1
6
44%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
1-4
100%
36%
1-5
20%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
5.2
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.9
4.3
7.1
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
36%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.7
1.3
9.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
2.1
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
40.4
38.0
27
65%
16
4
3
1
5
2
3
13
7-11
64%
10-16
9-17
63%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
37.8
30.8
11
37%
9
7
1
2
0
2
2
7
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.6
37.3
34.0
22
49%
5
5
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-6
33%
10-17
5-10
59%
50%
0-3
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.5
30.4
31.8
7
70%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
28.1
24.3
4
29%
3
3
0
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
52%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.8
23.2
12.9
9
50%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.3
22.9
17.6
14
65%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-4
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
10.7
13.0
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
4.6
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.1
4.6
11.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
4.6
0
1-1
46%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.3
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.