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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pistons65%9487
29Hawks35%9084
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.3
40.9
39.6
3
32%
10
1
0
2
3
1
1
9
3-4
75%
0-3
4-9
0%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.9
40.0
37.2
28
59%
5
3
1
1
1
1
4
1
2-2
100%
13-22
7-14
59%
47%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.8
38.9
35.6
12
60%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.3
36.7
34.1
19
48%
6
4
2
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
43%
4-10
40%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
17.9
24.2
6
28%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
46%
0-1
0%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.7
19.9
9.1
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.8
16.9
8.2
13
82%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
2-3
67%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.1
16.9
17.9
6
50%
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.4
11.8
19.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
0.2
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.4
4.8
0
1-2
44%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.5
1.5
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
44.1
28.8
20
50%
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
3-7
43%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
40.9
23.3
10
48%
6
4
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
42%
0-2
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.0
40.5
30.0
20
56%
12
4
3
1
1
4
4
8
2-2
100%
9-17
6-12
53%
47%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.7
37.4
29.1
15
44%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
2-5
40%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
32.3
24.6
13
68%
10
1
0
1
4
2
4
6
5-8
63%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
23.0
21.3
4
52%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.9
11.3
23.4
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
10.6
20.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
16.1
0
3-7
44%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.3
9.5
0
1-2
38%
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
9.4
0
1-2
40%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
6.5
0
1-2
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.