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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks43%91100
27Heat57%9380
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
34.6
36.4
28
77%
8
3
0
1
0
2
1
7
4-7
57%
6-9
5-11
67%
46%
4-6
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.2
32.2
32.5
8
50%
10
5
0
1
2
3
1
9
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
31.1
38.0
15
57%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
5-7
5-12
71%
46%
0-4
0%
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.8
28.4
19.6
14
79%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
39%
2-4
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.5
16.6
17.6
2
33%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
24.6
20.2
10
63%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
22.7
22.2
12
81%
8
0
0
1
2
0
2
6
0-1
0%
6-7
3-7
86%
43%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.1
21.2
20.8
2
17%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
15.8
3.9
8
58%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.2
5.0
1.2
1
7%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-6
0-0
0%
39%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.5
4.4
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
3.4
19.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
40.9
35.3
25
54%
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
8-9
89%
7-16
5-10
44%
47%
1-3
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
35.1
24.2
11
40%
6
1
0
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
40%
2-5
40%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
33.2
35.9
17
49%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
6-12
4-9
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.8
32.5
25.6
13
67%
7
4
1
1
0
2
4
3
5-6
83%
4-7
3-7
57%
41%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
31.3
31.8
4
29%
11
2
1
1
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
18.0
14.0
7
44%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-4
25%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.8
16.7
14.2
1
13%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.7
12.9
1.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
37%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
12.3
1.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
7.0
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.9
37.0
1
6-14
45%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.5
14.4
0
1-3
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.