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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies23%10198
3Mavericks77%110104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.0
32.2
32.8
14
50%
3
2
1
2
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
2-6
33%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
32.2
17.2
14
71%
12
3
0
0
1
1
4
8
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
44%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
18.7
34.6
10
50%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
7-15
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.1
18.7
28.0
4
40%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
16.8
21.3
3
30%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
31.2
22.8
30
50%
7
5
2
1
2
2
3
4
6-9
67%
12-21
4-10
57%
43%
0-5
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.5
29.3
19.9
6
33%
2
7
4
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
29.3
18.6
10
71%
7
1
2
1
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
49%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.3
15.8
26.0
3
61%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.1
15.8
16.4
4
30%
7
1
1
1
1
0
2
5
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.5
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.1
1.1
0
0-0
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
42.9
31.4
15
56%
6
0
2
1
0
5
2
4
3-3
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
42.1
42.4
18
77%
17
4
0
1
0
4
2
15
4-4
100%
4-7
7-14
57%
49%
2-3
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.8
41.9
31.7
24
76%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
5-7
71%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.9
40.3
35.4
16
55%
4
10
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
3-6
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
37.8
37.6
13
38%
10
8
2
1
2
2
4
6
0-0
-
5-14
5-11
36%
46%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
25.6
30.6
14
44%
8
1
0
1
0
1
7
1
4-4
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.9
7.7
8.8
4
50%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.8
1.8
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
6.3
0
1-1
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
3.7
0
1-1
45%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.5
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.8
2.2
0
0-0
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.