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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 30, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8SuperSonics35%98105
11Grizzlies65%10399
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
38.7
36.3
33
82%
6
1
3
1
2
4
1
5
5-5
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
46%
4-6
67%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.0
36.8
28.5
10
71%
3
10
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
30.6
35.0
22
53%
6
4
2
1
0
5
3
3
3-4
75%
8-15
5-10
53%
45%
1-4
25%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
19.6
28.5
4
25%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.1
16.2
16.2
2
25%
6
3
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.6
24.2
15.7
3
68%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
3-5
60%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
21.1
21.1
9
38%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-10
3-8
30%
43%
1-2
50%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.6
17.6
18.6
2
35%
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.4
13.8
11.5
10
68%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.8
9.4
8.4
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.8
7.1
8.2
5
125%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 22.9
4.9
17.2
3
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
39%
1-1
100%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
34.0
31.9
32
74%
11
2
0
1
2
5
5
6
14-17
82%
9-14
7-14
64%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
32.8
24.3
7
39%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.1
31.2
29.2
12
60%
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
2-6
33%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
25.7
21.9
9
37%
10
1
1
1
2
2
3
7
3-3
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.0
12.3
30.7
2
20%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.3
35.7
22.5
9
38%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
1-7
14%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.1
22.3
18.7
9
46%
6
0
1
1
5
1
4
2
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.6
16.8
16.2
6
50%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
15.2
5.0
6
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
1-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
14.0
19.4
7
102%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
24.1
1
5-11
46%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.6
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.