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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Cavaliers26%8782
6Nets74%9597
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.1
42.9
36.6
16
56%
13
2
0
1
2
3
3
10
2-3
67%
7-13
5-11
54%
50%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.0
36.1
37.0
14
34%
4
9
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
6-15
6-15
40%
43%
0-4
0%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.5
34.0
25.7
9
30%
1
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-10
3-7
20%
42%
1-4
25%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.6
24.0
22.6
12
55%
8
1
1
0
1
2
4
4
0-0
-
6-11
3-8
55%
44%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.8
19.9
22.0
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
24.0
24.7
2
100%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
23.4
22.7
11
60%
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
40%
0-0
-
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.3
16.6
4.3
8
100%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
34%
2-3
67%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
15.7
19.7
6
43%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.9
3.5
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
39%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
20.0
0
2-4
46%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.9
1.6
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.1
39.7
31.4
5
36%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-6
33%
43%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.5
38.3
38.8
20
58%
8
6
1
1
1
5
2
6
1-3
33%
5-11
6-13
45%
51%
3-5
60%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.8
37.4
35.2
26
66%
9
10
1
2
1
3
0
9
4-4
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
4-6
67%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.0
36.7
36.9
16
45%
13
5
5
1
3
2
2
11
2-4
50%
7-14
7-14
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.6
33.9
27.1
20
76%
4
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
4-5
80%
8-9
3-6
89%
49%
0-2
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
24.2
21.1
2
33%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.0
16.1
19.9
8
58%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Pack
G · 6'2" 190 · 34.9
7.3
10.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.5
3.5
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.5
1.5
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28.2
1.5
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.3
4.8
0
1-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.