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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 2, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Suns29%9081
12Pistons71%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.9
45.4
39.4
26
51%
1
7
0
1
0
6
0
1
8-8
100%
9-18
6-13
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 25.7
43.6
40.0
14
41%
11
5
3
2
4
2
3
8
2-2
100%
3-13
6-14
23%
45%
2-3
67%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
39.5
36.6
6
27%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-10
5-11
30%
41%
0-1
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.2
22.0
22.3
5
73%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.4
11.2
25.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
43%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.5
33.4
28.0
20
68%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
7-12
3-7
58%
43%
1-1
100%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.9
24.8
15.6
5
64%
4
0
1
0
4
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
13.6
15.2
2
26%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.1
6.6
6.5
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
1-1
100%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 35.8
7.0
0
1-2
41%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.0
3.8
0
0-1
40%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 24.3
0.7
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.9
44.3
36.3
26
53%
5
6
2
1
0
3
3
2
8-8
100%
9-19
7-15
47%
47%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.3
44.0
40.1
10
39%
22
3
0
2
3
2
7
15
2-2
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.3
42.5
35.4
13
38%
3
6
1
1
1
2
0
3
4-5
80%
3-10
4-10
30%
43%
1-5
20%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.8
28.7
35.6
8
33%
10
4
2
1
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
2-6
33%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
18.6
16.3
12
76%
6
2
0
0
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.4
28.1
16.5
14
50%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
2-8
25%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.4
13.6
4.4
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.8
8.3
10.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.4
6.5
15.8
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.1
5.2
19.5
4
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.5
0.3
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.7
6.0
0
1-2
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.