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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic22%96103
13Grizzlies78%106112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
38.5
38.1
34
64%
6
6
3
1
1
1
2
4
9-13
69%
8-16
6-13
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
37.2
28.1
15
63%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
7-9
3-6
78%
44%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.9
31.1
35.9
6
34%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
6-14
25%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.6
21.7
21.7
8
80%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
39%
2-3
67%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.9
18.1
16.9
2
50%
7
2
0
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
34.2
34.2
16
48%
7
3
4
1
1
0
2
5
4-6
67%
6-13
6-14
46%
44%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
23.3
29.4
12
61%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.7
14.5
7.0
9
48%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
0-1
40%
41%
1-3
33%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
12.0
4.0
1
57%
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.5
9.3
16.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.9
4.6
0
1-2
41%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.1
1.3
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
31.0
28.3
17
46%
6
4
0
0
2
2
2
4
7-10
70%
5-14
6-12
36%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.1
28.6
24.9
8
58%
2
10
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
26.2
21.0
17
70%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-5
60%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
2-5
40%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.0
24.9
27.5
15
76%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
48%
1-3
33%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
18.5
26.4
9
83%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
5-10
80%
48%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.1
28.9
18.5
14
64%
15
0
0
1
2
3
5
10
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.3
23.8
22.1
6
43%
9
4
1
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
21.8
23.9
16
44%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
8-16
5-11
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.6
19.4
22.3
2
33%
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
17.0
20.5
8
80%
2
4
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
53%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
6.5
0
1-2
46%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.6
2.1
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.