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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 3, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Celtics46%9788
26Bulls54%9877
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
41.2
34.9
33
55%
3
2
0
2
1
2
0
3
12-16
75%
6-15
5-12
40%
45%
3-8
38%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
35.1
26.9
11
34%
11
4
1
1
0
3
1
10
3-7
43%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-10
20%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.9
31.9
31.6
9
57%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.5
31.4
29.1
18
66%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
2-4
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.1
30.9
30.4
2
25%
9
0
2
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.3
23.8
26.6
8
57%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.5
18.1
13.6
7
53%
5
0
2
0
1
2
0
5
3-6
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
16.6
15.9
0
0%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
11.1
21.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.1
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
2.8
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.0
43.3
36.8
8
36%
2
4
4
1
0
6
0
2
4-5
80%
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
0-5
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
41.7
40.5
16
43%
5
6
2
2
1
2
0
5
3-4
75%
5-9
6-12
56%
45%
1-8
13%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
29.8
29.8
8
40%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
41%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.6
27.2
29.5
6
23%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-13
4-10
23%
42%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.7
25.1
26.4
9
37%
12
2
3
1
0
1
6
6
7-7
100%
1-9
3-6
11%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.7
24.4
10.9
9
53%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.1
17.2
19.6
6
52%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-4
0%
3-4
4-7
75%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.4
12.0
13.1
8
45%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35.0
9.4
20.7
6
60%
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.6
4.3
8.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
4.3
3.4
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-2
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.6
1.3
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.