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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks13%9389
1Kings87%107105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.8
36.9
33.9
19
69%
4
4
1
2
1
1
2
2
4-4
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.9
33.3
23.3
10
42%
2
5
0
1
0
5
1
1
2-2
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
44%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.1
30.4
34.5
19
50%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
9-18
7-15
50%
47%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
30.2
27.8
6
104%
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
29.9
29.7
11
75%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
3-3
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
43%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
20.4
29.0
2
13%
6
2
3
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-8
3-8
13%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
19.5
24.2
8
68%
3
3
0
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
18.1
16.9
5
36%
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.1
17.6
11.7
9
65%
8
0
0
0
2
0
3
5
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
2.3
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.3
1.6
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
2.5
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.6
40.8
35.8
28
69%
3
0
3
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
54%
5-11
45%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.7
38.7
32.1
20
58%
10
5
0
1
0
0
2
8
2-3
67%
9-15
4-8
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
36.4
37.2
13
57%
6
6
3
2
1
0
1
5
3-3
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 35.9
35.8
24.4
6
29%
4
10
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-8
50%
1-6
4-7
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.7
33.5
29.0
19
77%
2
6
1
1
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
2-3
67%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
18.4
16.0
10
83%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.8
17.3
25.1
3
15%
1
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.1
14.5
18.2
4
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.9
1.6
12.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
1.6
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
1.6
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 33.1
0.7
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.