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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Magic25%9693
16Celtics75%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
41.2
38.4
28
45%
3
4
2
1
0
2
2
1
2-5
40%
7-18
6-14
39%
45%
4-11
36%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.9
39.9
32.1
13
44%
8
1
2
1
0
4
0
8
3-6
50%
5-12
5-12
42%
43%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.7
33.9
21.0
18
58%
8
1
2
1
0
1
4
4
1-1
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
40%
3-5
60%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
32.4
26.9
10
51%
4
9
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
44%
0-2
0%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.9
11.3
21.4
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
22.0
29.6
8
40%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-10
5-12
40%
44%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
18.9
26.2
8
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-6
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
17.5
9.5
2
17%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
42%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.5
15.6
18.9
2
26%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
7.3
10.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.8
6.8
0
0-1
40%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.9
2.4
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
41.6
37.9
19
47%
10
9
0
2
0
9
0
10
7-7
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
0-4
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.1
36.3
31.4
6
60%
6
1
2
1
2
5
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.5
28.1
28.8
21
63%
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
5
5-6
83%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
2-5
40%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.9
27.3
29.5
13
60%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.5
22.8
15.7
11
56%
11
2
0
0
2
1
5
6
1-4
25%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
32.1
31.3
12
68%
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
3-7
43%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.3
27.6
25.6
12
61%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
19.9
17.0
6
60%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
4.2
3.2
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
14.1
0
2-4
51%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.1
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
2.3
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.