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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards19%9087
10Hornets81%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
32.7
32.2
13
42%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
3-6
50%
2-6
4-10
33%
44%
2-7
29%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
29.9
31.4
15
40%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
6-14
5-12
43%
43%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.1
22.5
18.8
10
63%
8
0
0
0
2
1
4
4
0-2
0%
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.4
21.7
22.7
2
20%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.1
12.7
25.5
1
10%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
0-4
2-6
0%
40%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
28.6
23.8
11
50%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
41%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.8
28.4
23.0
9
67%
6
0
3
1
1
2
3
3
3-4
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
43%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
25.5
21.8
9
43%
12
2
0
0
2
2
5
7
7-10
70%
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.2
18.1
4.5
7
51%
3
4
4
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.9
13.8
22.6
8
57%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
39%
2-4
50%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.2
6.1
12.0
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-4
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
4.8
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.7
37.3
41.1
28
62%
4
10
3
2
0
4
1
3
4-6
67%
9-13
6-13
69%
47%
2-7
29%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
31.5
30.3
10
34%
13
1
2
1
1
2
4
9
0-2
0%
5-14
4-8
36%
50%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.2
29.1
35.8
2
20%
4
0
3
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
6-11
20%
51%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.1
27.0
30.9
20
70%
1
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
3-6
50%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.3
23.5
17.9
8
57%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.5
24.7
26.9
14
81%
7
4
2
2
0
2
2
5
6-6
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.4
19.1
21.1
2
36%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
18.9
11.3
4
30%
6
4
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26.9
16.5
9.6
4
50%
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.8
5.4
5.8
5
125%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.3
3.5
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 29.3
3.5
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.