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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 7, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Warriors22%10099
2Mavericks78%110105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
43.6
31.9
15
50%
6
9
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
44%
3-5
60%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
43.2
34.3
27
49%
7
2
2
1
0
1
5
2
1-3
33%
7-17
5-11
41%
46%
4-9
44%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.1
41.0
29.2
5
23%
8
6
2
1
2
4
3
5
3-4
75%
1-8
3-7
13%
42%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
29.7
33.2
13
54%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
46%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.5
25.0
29.6
15
70%
8
1
0
0
2
1
3
5
3-4
75%
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
31.6
15.7
18
72%
6
2
1
0
1
3
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.5
20.0
17.1
6
60%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.7
5.8
20.9
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 23.7
20.8
1
3-7
43%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
1.8
0
0-0
39%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.8
1.0
0
0-0
42%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.6
0.7
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.8
48.0
37.4
21
48%
5
3
3
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
9-17
4-9
53%
47%
1-5
20%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
47.1
33.3
20
61%
8
6
0
1
0
5
1
7
1-1
100%
8-11
4-9
73%
46%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
41.0
38.9
23
54%
11
1
1
1
1
2
3
8
5-5
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
50%
2-6
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.9
36.8
33.1
7
30%
3
12
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
1-8
4-8
13%
47%
0-1
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.8
14.7
8.5
4
52%
11
1
0
0
0
1
6
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
33.0
27.8
14
60%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
2-4
50%
6-10
5-11
60%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.9
19.4
10.8
16
81%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
45%
2-2
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
21.0
1
3-6
46%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
13.1
1
2-5
47%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.5
9.1
0
1-2
42%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
6.3
0
1-2
47%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.8
6.0
0
1-1
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.