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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 9, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Cavaliers
82
19Celtics
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.0
42
37
19
3
6
3
1
0
5
0
3
5-7
71%
7-16
7-16
44%
45%
0-3
0%
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.8
24
26
9
4
1
0
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
2-6
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.1
22
28
5
8
0
1
1
0
2
5
3
1-5
20%
2-7
5-9
29%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.6
21
27
5
8
1
1
1
1
2
5
3
3-4
75%
1-6
5-10
17%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.5
20
33
8
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
29
12
5
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
1-4
25%
38%
0-3
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
19
23
10
13
0
2
1
0
1
4
9
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.9
17
2
9
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
2-5
40%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.9
16
13
6
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
15
19
4
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
1-2
50%
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.3
9
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
35%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
5
17
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
42%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
34
39
30
12
8
1
2
2
1
1
11
12-13
92%
6-11
6-13
55%
46%
2-4
50%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.0
30
28
12
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.1
27
33
11
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.5
26
28
13
7
2
2
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
1-5
20%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.5
24
18
4
8
0
0
0
2
4
2
6
2-6
33%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.3
28
26
16
3
1
3
1
0
5
1
2
3-5
60%
5-8
3-8
63%
44%
1-1
100%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
22
31
9
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
3-8
38%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
22
18
10
2
3
4
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
42%
2-3
67%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
16
4
0
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.1
7
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
10
0
1-3
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.