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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 9, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz42%9596
20Nuggets58%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
41.7
36.0
12
35%
11
5
3
2
0
2
7
4
6-7
86%
3-12
5-9
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.8
39.2
31.0
15
55%
13
4
0
0
4
4
7
6
3-4
75%
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.4
30.6
26.7
16
51%
3
7
2
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
6-13
4-10
46%
46%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.8
30.1
26.7
19
68%
5
4
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
8-13
5-10
62%
44%
1-1
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.0
11.6
0.4
1
27%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.1
26.8
23.3
11
73%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
7-8
88%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
21.8
25.2
10
43%
2
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-6
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
41%
1-1
100%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
17.4
20.2
3
21%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.2
14.1
19.7
5
50%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Paul Grant
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.0
6.8
8.4
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.6
17.1
0
3-6
49%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.1
4.7
0
1-2
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.6
40.6
28.9
27
54%
7
3
1
1
0
4
3
4
5-7
71%
11-21
5-11
52%
44%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.3
39.5
25.2
25
90%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
7-9
78%
9-10
3-6
90%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
36.1
33.8
18
67%
5
7
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
6-10
4-10
60%
46%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.7
34.3
29.6
9
42%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
33.6
24.4
8
40%
11
5
5
1
8
0
4
7
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.6
17.4
22.7
4
25%
0
5
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
14.1
19.0
3
39%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
9.3
13.0
6
75%
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.9
8.9
16.7
4
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.1
6.2
4.7
2
114%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Trepagnier
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
11.7
1
1-4
40%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.7
6.1
0
1-2
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.