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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 9, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Hawks29%9667
17Lakers71%103113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.8
31.4
34.7
13
45%
3
1
0
2
0
5
0
3
3-3
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
24.7
28.4
4
33%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
23.3
29.3
2
33%
0
0
0
1
4
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.1
22.1
32.1
7
61%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
7-14
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
21.9
22.2
6
30%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
0-3
0%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
24.3
24.9
10
64%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
42%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
21.8
17.4
6
60%
7
0
0
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-6
60%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
20.0
2.2
12
65%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
4-7
0-1
57%
43%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.3
14.8
2.4
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
38%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.1
14.3
14.5
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.9
11.3
27.4
3
52%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
10.1
3.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.8
32.5
23.7
26
62%
11
3
2
1
2
0
8
3
0-0
-
13-21
4-9
62%
50%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.4
30.8
36.9
26
60%
5
6
3
2
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
7-14
7-15
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.5
27.6
30.7
9
48%
5
7
2
1
0
2
3
2
1-1
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
26.6
22.1
5
36%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.5
23.2
23.8
6
60%
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.4
20.4
20.9
11
67%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
19.0
14.8
11
138%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
3-3
100%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
17.7
7.6
4
67%
9
1
1
0
1
1
5
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
17.2
18.7
9
38%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-5
30%
48%
1-2
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
13.8
21.6
6
47%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
11.1
10.4
0
0%
4
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.8
9.6
0
2-3
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.