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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6SuperSonics43%102110
18Warriors57%104113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
44.6
36.4
25
54%
9
0
1
1
0
0
1
8
2-3
67%
7-14
5-10
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
43.8
35.1
28
49%
8
5
1
1
0
3
2
6
2-3
67%
7-16
5-11
44%
47%
4-11
36%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.0
36.6
26.8
8
67%
7
6
0
1
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
31.8
29.9
16
54%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
2-7
29%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
16.3
14.8
4
52%
4
0
2
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.8
29.8
20.0
8
65%
1
9
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.6
23.3
17.7
3
52%
7
0
0
1
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
21.3
19.6
9
41%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.1
13.4
15.9
9
70%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.4
4.1
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.8
10.0
0
1-3
44%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 22.9
6.8
0
1-2
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
47.2
37.2
25
61%
11
4
1
1
0
2
1
10
4-6
67%
6-10
6-12
60%
48%
3-8
38%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
42.0
35.7
13
38%
7
11
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-7
57%
3-11
4-9
27%
46%
1-3
33%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.1
36.2
33.0
28
81%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-9
3-8
44%
44%
6-7
86%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
25.0
31.4
9
45%
9
2
0
1
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.5
23.2
27.6
5
25%
10
0
1
0
3
3
3
7
1-2
50%
2-9
3-7
22%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
35.5
21.4
16
69%
9
3
1
1
0
2
2
7
5-6
83%
4-5
2-5
80%
51%
1-4
25%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.5
35.1
18.2
13
63%
6
3
0
1
1
0
5
1
3-3
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
50%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 25.7
20.8
15.1
4
40%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 23.7
14.2
0
2-4
46%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 38.8
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.6
0.8
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.