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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Celtics31%8797
11Rockets69%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
38.5
27.4
21
66%
6
4
2
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
5-10
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
38.4
36.4
27
67%
8
1
1
1
0
3
1
7
11-12
92%
5-11
5-12
45%
43%
2-4
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.1
36.0
30.1
10
50%
6
2
2
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.0
36.0
28.6
21
108%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-5
2-6
80%
40%
3-3
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.6
27.1
26.7
3
25%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.3
21.9
26.2
5
27%
2
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
3-5
60%
1-6
3-8
17%
42%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.5
21.1
20.1
8
80%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-6
80%
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
20.9
19.3
2
35%
2
5
1
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
36%
0-2
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
8.5
0
1-1
46%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
7.3
0
1-2
47%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.1
3.8
0
0-1
38%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
2.9
0
0-0
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
45.7
36.0
26
86%
8
4
3
1
1
4
2
6
4-5
80%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
6-9
67%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.9
45.3
38.2
19
53%
7
7
1
1
0
6
4
3
2-2
100%
4-12
5-11
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.4
43.2
36.1
15
44%
5
8
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
46%
1-7
14%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.4
26.4
27.8
4
41%
8
2
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.3
23.3
24.8
6
44%
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
7
2-4
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.2
33.9
28.4
15
56%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.7
12.1
10.3
8
57%
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.3
7.4
18.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 24.7
2.7
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.3
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.5
2.8
0
0-0
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.