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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies57%102108
25Clippers43%100107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
37.5
26.8
6
33%
9
1
2
1
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
3-9
5-10
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.1
34.7
30.6
12
60%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
2-5
40%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.0
31.7
27.6
17
91%
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
29.7
25.8
2
20%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
29.3
27.4
18
46%
5
2
0
0
3
3
2
3
4-6
67%
7-17
6-12
41%
50%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
23.5
20.8
12
61%
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
45%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.1
22.7
16.8
24
76%
4
2
1
1
3
1
3
1
8-11
73%
8-11
3-6
73%
49%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.3
21.3
22.8
4
100%
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.6
18.3
16.5
3
40%
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.7
16.2
19.9
10
73%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.6
1.8
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
47.4
16.3
21
51%
4
1
1
0
0
5
0
4
6-6
100%
6-15
2-5
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
44.0
35.9
17
54%
12
5
2
1
2
1
7
5
3-4
75%
7-14
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
37.1
16.2
11
51%
9
0
0
0
1
3
1
8
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 25.1
36.4
28.0
23
78%
1
8
4
2
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
43%
3-4
75%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.7
14.8
23.0
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
36.8
22.6
16
74%
7
5
1
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
7-10
2-6
70%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
18.8
21.0
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.7
16.9
15.8
15
69%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
41%
3-4
75%
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 36.6
7.0
19.3
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
6.0
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.4
26.8
1
2-6
42%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
9.9
0
1-3
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.