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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 12, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks47%103127
21Knicks53%104121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.9
53.0
36.7
25
53%
10
6
1
1
0
1
2
8
5-6
83%
4-11
4-9
36%
44%
4-10
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
47.0
36.7
31
60%
10
1
1
1
0
2
1
9
4-4
100%
9-15
5-11
60%
48%
3-9
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
46.6
33.9
14
38%
12
11
1
1
1
1
3
9
0-1
0%
4-13
4-9
31%
44%
2-5
40%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.9
45.1
32.6
28
85%
3
8
3
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
9-11
3-8
82%
45%
3-5
60%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
21.4
19.8
4
67%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
39.1
29.9
23
57%
4
1
2
1
0
2
4
0
5-7
71%
9-17
5-11
53%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.5
7.9
6.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.0
3.2
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.8
1.6
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
10.9
0
1-3
43%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.8
9.7
0
1-2
43%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
2.3
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.9
51.8
36.7
38
68%
3
14
1
1
0
4
0
3
8-9
89%
12-18
5-12
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.5
47.2
25.8
19
46%
7
3
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
44%
1-7
14%
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
46.8
31.3
29
57%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
47%
6-12
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
45.0
32.3
10
56%
12
2
1
1
1
1
4
8
0-0
-
5-9
6-12
56%
48%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.5
12.8
29.9
1
17%
5
0
0
0
1
1
4
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
38.4
8.8
11
87%
11
1
0
0
0
4
2
9
3-3
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
51%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
12.1
22.1
6
75%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.9
7.4
8.0
7
88%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.2
3.6
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
28.7
1
4-8
49%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
13.6
1
1-3
40%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.6
3.9
0
1-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.