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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 13, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs75%9477
30Hawks25%8586
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
40.4
38.4
28
55%
9
0
1
1
3
5
4
5
6-8
75%
11-22
9-16
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
35.7
34.8
12
47%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.8
31.1
26.2
7
32%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-8
2-6
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.6
26.7
33.3
3
31%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
19.2
25.3
2
20%
5
2
1
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
4-7
0%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
23.4
9.9
9
50%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
5-7
71%
2-6
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.4
18.4
15.5
5
51%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
14.8
22.6
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
12.3
9.4
0
0%
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.4
11.5
1.6
5
51%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.1
6.5
11.7
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
8.3
0
1-2
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.8
45.6
29.0
16
43%
9
7
2
1
0
1
2
7
4-4
100%
6-15
4-8
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.1
43.6
28.7
29
62%
10
3
3
1
0
1
3
7
11-12
92%
9-18
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
38.0
25.9
18
65%
5
4
3
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
5-10
3-8
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
38.0
27.2
13
61%
5
2
0
1
1
3
1
4
5-6
83%
4-8
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
24.9
25.9
2
100%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
40%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
26.8
25.1
2
13%
8
0
1
1
0
3
1
7
0-1
0%
1-7
3-7
14%
41%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.4
13.1
18.6
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-6
60%
43%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.9
10.0
16.4
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
10.9
0
1-3
40%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.1
10.1
0
1-3
42%
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
9.9
0
1-2
36%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.3
7.8
0
1-2
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.