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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 14, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Magic33%100110
20Knicks67%105120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
42.6
39.9
28
46%
7
9
1
1
0
4
2
5
6-8
75%
8-20
7-16
40%
46%
2-7
29%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.9
39.8
32.5
23
59%
8
1
1
1
0
0
0
8
5-6
83%
9-17
5-11
53%
44%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
36.0
29.5
13
53%
2
3
5
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.7
35.5
27.8
10
46%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
42%
2-6
33%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.9
15.2
18.8
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
18.3
7.6
12
62%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
17.8
22.6
8
82%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.5
11.9
15.2
5
83%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
11.5
24.3
2
50%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
4-10
50%
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.9
11.3
7.7
9
101%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.8
6.4
0
0-1
40%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
4.9
0
1-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.9
40.0
40.0
26
73%
2
10
1
2
0
5
0
2
11-13
85%
6-11
6-13
55%
48%
1-1
100%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
39.8
19.2
22
80%
10
1
1
1
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
3-4
75%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
32.0
35.0
16
74%
10
3
0
1
1
2
0
10
2-4
50%
7-9
6-12
78%
49%
0-0
-
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
31.0
35.2
23
72%
4
1
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
48%
5-7
71%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.6
16.2
22.1
2
36%
8
0
0
0
2
2
0
8
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.5
29.5
32.1
13
70%
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-3
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
45%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
17.6
19.2
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
17.0
17.6
8
84%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.6
8.9
2.3
4
40%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
45%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.9
8.0
8.0
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
9.0
0
1-2
41%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.2
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.