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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 15, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bulls24%9493
11Grizzlies76%103108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
29.3
36.8
13
40%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
6-7
86%
2-8
5-11
25%
44%
1-5
20%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.7
28.5
29.2
13
66%
9
3
4
1
0
2
5
4
1-2
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.0
27.9
37.6
7
50%
2
5
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-6
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
20.9
28.8
5
32%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
1-6
3-9
17%
40%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.6
7.7
18.9
2
25%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
41%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.0
24.7
22.2
12
68%
5
1
3
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-8
63%
41%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.1
22.5
18.3
12
68%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35.0
18.6
8.7
4
33%
6
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.4
17.6
7.3
4
29%
6
4
1
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Scottie Pippen
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 38.3
16.4
12.6
10
63%
5
1
2
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.7
14.8
19.8
6
51%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.6
11.1
4.7
5
73%
1
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
37%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.2
33.9
32.4
20
65%
3
9
1
1
0
3
2
1
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
3-7
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
33.9
26.2
11
43%
8
4
1
0
4
3
3
5
2-2
100%
3-11
6-12
27%
51%
1-1
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.0
31.6
26.8
23
86%
6
3
4
1
2
1
0
6
10-10
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
28.5
29.5
9
51%
6
1
4
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
26.0
28.0
12
51%
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
2-6
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
22.0
18.9
12
40%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
6-7
86%
3-12
4-9
25%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.3
19.5
23.4
10
73%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
1-2
50%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
17.9
16.4
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.6
14.2
14.5
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.2
12.6
18.3
7
45%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
2.2
0
0-1
44%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.6
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.