for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Celtics51%102118
23Magic49%101124
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.3
45.8
37.5
20
35%
7
7
3
2
0
5
4
3
4-6
67%
5-16
5-11
31%
46%
2-10
20%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.1
41.3
33.1
15
65%
8
4
0
1
3
2
2
6
5-8
63%
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.6
33.9
26.4
12
120%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.0
24.1
30.3
10
105%
2
1
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.5
23.4
18.4
12
76%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
33.4
27.6
14
64%
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
3-7
43%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.3
26.0
28.2
9
75%
4
4
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.2
20.2
20.4
14
64%
5
6
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
16.9
5.1
12
77%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
6.8
0
1-1
49%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.1
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
2.0
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
44.9
40.4
44
64%
6
6
3
2
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
11-18
8-16
61%
47%
5-13
38%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.7
43.5
30.6
10
43%
6
3
2
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.9
34.4
34.9
11
46%
6
0
0
1
0
4
2
4
1-2
50%
5-11
6-13
45%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
33.7
31.8
2
14%
2
11
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.0
11.5
17.2
2
50%
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
37.4
18.7
32
74%
8
0
1
1
1
1
3
5
6-8
75%
10-16
3-7
63%
45%
2-2
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 19.9
18.0
9.2
7
61%
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.5
16.3
13.5
7
90%
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
14.8
20.4
9
92%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
7.5
12.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.8
3.0
4.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.