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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Wizards18%8477
10Pistons82%9698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.9
39.0
32.1
13
66%
9
0
2
1
2
1
1
8
1-2
50%
6-9
4-9
67%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
31.3
34.3
10
36%
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-10
6-14
30%
43%
0-2
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.2
26.3
21.2
8
57%
3
3
3
2
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
41%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.1
23.3
27.4
8
45%
5
3
1
1
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-6
38%
40%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.1
18.5
17.4
5
32%
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
22.3
25.1
4
25%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.9
21.7
20.2
5
36%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
36%
1-5
20%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
17.3
20.8
3
22%
6
1
2
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-6
2-6
17%
44%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.3
16.8
14.7
14
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
39%
2-3
67%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
14.6
6.7
5
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
1-1
100%
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 27.7
9.0
9.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.4
9.5
0
1-2
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.9
32.0
35.8
16
64%
6
2
0
1
3
2
1
5
0-1
0%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
2-5
40%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.3
31.4
35.8
12
68%
4
10
3
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.9
29.2
34.9
17
62%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
5-11
7-15
45%
47%
1-1
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.3
28.2
31.3
4
20%
8
3
1
1
4
3
4
4
0-0
-
2-10
4-8
20%
48%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
27.1
25.6
13
74%
9
1
1
1
0
1
2
7
3-4
75%
5-6
4-8
83%
47%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.4
22.9
19.5
5
50%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.8
19.1
10.2
13
73%
6
5
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-2
0%
5-7
1-2
71%
45%
1-1
100%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.1
15.3
18.8
8
67%
3
1
0
0
3
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.8
12.5
3.3
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.6
8.9
1.7
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
8.6
11.6
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.5
4.8
9.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.