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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat32%9387
21Clippers68%9985
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
42.5
39.1
8
31%
7
7
1
2
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
39%
1-7
14%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
37.7
35.2
21
56%
3
6
2
1
1
2
1
2
5-6
83%
2-9
4-8
22%
44%
4-7
57%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
37.1
34.1
11
40%
15
2
0
1
1
3
3
12
3-4
75%
4-8
5-12
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
33.0
36.1
13
49%
5
0
2
1
3
0
3
2
3-3
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
21.0
19.4
6
43%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
41%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
35.3
18.6
12
56%
9
0
2
0
0
0
4
5
6-6
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.8
27.8
20.9
14
44%
5
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
7-14
2-6
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.7
5.5
5.9
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
37%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
13.4
0
1-3
41%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.6
11.6
0
1-2
43%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.9
3.8
0
1-1
42%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.5
1.6
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 25.1
45.1
33.8
8
52%
8
11
0
2
0
2
0
8
1-4
25%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
43.6
33.0
21
44%
6
5
0
1
1
2
2
4
9-11
82%
6-18
5-10
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 24.9
40.6
39.3
22
57%
12
1
0
1
4
2
4
8
6-10
60%
8-15
7-13
53%
52%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.7
32.9
15.8
17
58%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
5-12
2-5
42%
42%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
19.0
19.2
2
17%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
27.9
24.5
6
60%
6
2
0
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
15.9
29.1
4
40%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.5
11.1
13.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.7
4.0
5.4
3
104%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.8
14.6
0
2-4
44%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
6.7
0
1-2
43%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
5.0
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.