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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Lakers15%9883
1Kings85%111103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
34.3
23.7
30
68%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
9-16
3-7
56%
44%
4-6
67%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.5
30.8
32.9
16
58%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
6-9
5-12
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.8
28.9
32.4
6
27%
9
4
2
1
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
3-10
6-13
30%
48%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
25.7
27.4
4
33%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
24.7
6.7
2
20%
9
3
0
0
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
46%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.4
30.8
23.5
12
61%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
2-6
63%
41%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
26.9
18.4
6
25%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-10
2-6
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
16.2
16.9
5
64%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
15.6
6.3
2
25%
1
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
6.1
6.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.5
27.6
1
3-6
45%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.9
8.3
0
2-3
54%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.8
40.6
39.3
9
52%
14
5
1
1
2
2
1
13
5-6
83%
2-6
5-11
33%
50%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
38.0
34.5
12
68%
4
4
3
2
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.6
32.6
40.0
23
81%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
5-5
100%
6-6
5-11
100%
52%
2-6
33%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.0
27.7
29.2
11
47%
6
7
1
1
2
2
1
5
1-4
25%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.7
27.0
34.1
21
82%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
47%
3-4
75%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.8
25.6
21.5
15
63%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
2-4
50%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.1
19.7
13.5
2
25%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
14.6
16.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
5.4
3.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.9
4.4
4.6
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
4.4
1.5
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
47%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 33.1
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.