for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 17, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12SuperSonics61%10084
30Wizards39%9699
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
41.4
30.8
19
43%
6
5
2
1
1
4
3
3
5-5
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
48%
2-9
22%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
40.1
34.4
13
40%
8
8
3
1
4
5
1
7
3-3
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
0-6
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
32.9
30.5
4
41%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
3-7
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.0
20.5
29.5
8
57%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.2
7.7
12.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
29.1
20.5
13
41%
4
2
2
1
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
5-13
3-8
38%
43%
1-3
33%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.8
25.2
11.4
16
73%
4
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
50%
2-4
50%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
18.9
15.6
1
13%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 28.8
17.0
15.1
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.4
3.6
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 22.9
3.6
12.6
2
50%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.7
13.8
1
1-2
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
40.4
33.0
27
48%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
8-10
80%
8-20
6-13
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
40.1
24.1
14
54%
13
3
3
1
0
2
2
11
0-0
-
7-11
3-7
64%
45%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.9
38.1
34.4
18
71%
6
2
1
1
1
5
1
5
4-6
67%
7-10
4-10
70%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.2
29.7
23.1
5
51%
4
9
3
2
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.1
24.7
25.8
6
43%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.9
21.1
20.7
5
51%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
18.2
19.6
10
71%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
47%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.3
17.2
15.5
12
68%
2
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
9.5
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 27.7
0.9
8.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.1
18.0
0
2-5
49%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.4
7.3
0
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.