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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 23, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Kings51%10495
8Grizzlies49%103109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.6
27.5
40.1
11
41%
7
5
0
1
0
4
1
6
1-1
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
51%
0-2
0%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.0
26.7
31.9
17
49%
12
2
0
1
0
2
3
9
3-5
60%
7-15
4-9
47%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.7
26.1
33.9
5
28%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.8
25.0
39.7
8
93%
8
3
0
1
0
2
2
6
2-3
67%
3-3
5-10
100%
49%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
22.4
31.0
10
58%
2
3
1
2
0
2
1
1
6-6
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.9
25.2
22.5
16
44%
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
4-11
3-7
36%
48%
2-6
33%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.2
23.4
11.6
8
59%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.9
23.0
5.3
12
46%
10
1
2
0
0
1
8
2
0-0
-
6-13
1-1
46%
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
19.4
4.0
4
34%
8
3
0
0
1
0
5
3
2-2
100%
1-5
1-1
20%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
15.0
14.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
6.3
2.4
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 33.1
1.0
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
36.2
31.8
20
51%
7
6
0
0
2
1
1
6
4-4
100%
8-18
7-14
44%
50%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.0
35.5
28.6
12
62%
6
2
4
1
0
0
1
5
6-6
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.9
34.6
27.0
27
80%
2
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
4-5
80%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.2
33.3
30.6
25
75%
3
10
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
5-7
71%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
26.1
26.8
8
51%
14
2
0
1
0
2
4
10
0-2
0%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
15.2
14.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.6
14.7
15.3
6
69%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
13.6
2.2
5
37%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-4
25%
2-5
0-1
40%
42%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.2
13.4
16.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
4
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
8.0
20.7
4
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-10
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.6
5.1
2.3
2
57%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.4
4.2
21.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.