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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1976ers38%8784
25Raptors62%9194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.8
40.0
32.4
15
59%
2
8
1
1
0
3
1
1
5-6
83%
5-10
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 31.3
39.1
24.5
12
51%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
37.3
24.4
14
51%
11
1
1
1
0
3
3
8
4-4
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
47%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 31.0
36.6
25.7
16
46%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
6-8
75%
2-12
4-10
17%
46%
2-2
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.7
22.9
27.2
9
68%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
5-6
83%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 30.3
25.1
17.7
8
68%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.5
13.8
1.6
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
38%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 24.1
12.7
21.1
4
53%
0
1
0
1
1
3
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 28.8
7.2
7.3
2
114%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 22.9
5.3
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
35%
0-2
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.6
26.4
1
5-12
42%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
10.8
0
1-2
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
39.5
31.1
17
46%
6
5
0
1
0
2
4
2
4-6
67%
5-13
6-12
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
36.8
37.3
9
35%
1
13
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
5-11
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
35.9
38.5
19
72%
10
1
1
1
4
1
2
8
4-5
80%
6-8
5-9
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.5
29.0
33.9
15
66%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
6-7
3-8
86%
46%
0-3
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.8
26.4
35.3
12
76%
6
2
1
1
2
0
3
3
2-2
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
25.8
16.2
18
69%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
4-8
50%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.0
15.9
15.7
2
36%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.6
13.4
2.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.8
10.7
5.2
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.0
6.6
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.8
9.7
0
1-3
40%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.4
2.7
0
0-0
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.