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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks55%10288
20Jazz45%10091
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.9
42.5
38.8
29
73%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-10
5-12
50%
45%
5-8
63%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.6
40.1
38.8
17
54%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
5-8
6-12
63%
48%
1-6
17%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.0
31.6
32.7
7
72%
1
5
1
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
31.2
36.2
6
30%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-10
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
18.4
25.5
6
51%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.9
33.3
16.5
4
40%
7
2
2
1
5
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
27.5
27.2
13
59%
3
0
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.8
7.8
4.6
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.5
7.5
15.2
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
3.6
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
41.5
24.9
23
76%
10
5
1
1
2
3
4
6
4-5
80%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
3-4
75%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.5
36.1
29.8
12
55%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.9
35.5
33.3
12
43%
11
2
1
0
2
2
5
6
4-7
57%
4-11
4-8
36%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.0
31.8
30.2
5
32%
11
3
0
1
0
3
4
7
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.8
26.5
29.8
8
58%
3
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
5-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
26.3
26.2
18
66%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
5-6
83%
5-8
3-7
63%
43%
1-3
33%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.2
21.9
22.7
6
77%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
11.9
17.3
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.2
8.5
14.4
3
38%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.1
10.8
0
2-4
43%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
10.2
0
2-3
51%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28.2
1.3
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.