FinalWin Prob.pScore
2628%89
94
1072%96
70
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.98487.0
NOH
84.38380.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
70
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHSmith Driving Dunk (9 PTS)94
70
Q4 - 0:26.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
68
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 194
68
Q4 - 0:27.0NOHLynch S.FOUL (P5.PN)94
68
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)94
68
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
68
Q4 - 0:33.0NOHMISS Lynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
68
Q4 - 0:42.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
68
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot92
68
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
68
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 23' Jump Shot92
68
Q4 - 1:15NOHBrown Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)92
68
Q4 - 1:24MIAButler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)92
68
Q4 - 1:39MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
68
Q4 - 1:40NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 292
68
Q4 - 1:40NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)92
68
Q4 - 1:40MIASUB: Wallace FOR Alston92
67
Q4 - 1:40MIASUB: Wade FOR Odom92
67
Q4 - 1:40MIASUB: Zhi-zhi FOR Haslem92
67
Q4 - 1:40MIAAlston P.FOUL (P2.PN)92
67
Q4 - 1:49MIAHaslem Dunk (20 PTS)92
67
Q4 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)90
67
Q4 - 1:51MIALynch BLOCK (1 BLK)90
67
Q4 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)90
67
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot90
67
Q4 - 2:29NOHSUB: Brown FOR Armstrong90
67
Q4 - 2:29MIASUB: Allen FOR Jones90
67
Q4 - 2:29NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)90
67
Q4 - 2:29MIAHeat Rebound90
67
Q4 - 2:30NOHMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot90
67
Q4 - 2:44MIAJones Layup (24 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)90
67
Q4 - 2:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
67
Q4 - 2:50NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot88
67
Q4 - 3:07MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)88
67
Q4 - 3:26MIAHeat Rebound85
67
Q4 - 3:28NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
67
Q4 - 3:37MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)85
67
Q4 - 3:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
67
Q4 - 3:59NOHMISS Mashburn 7' Jump Shot85
67
Q4 - 4:21MIAHaslem 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)85
67
Q4 - 4:37NOHArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)83
67
Q4 - 4:45MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
67
Q4 - 4:45MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
67
Q4 - 4:45NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Traylor81
67
Q4 - 4:45NOHTraylor L.B.FOUL (P6.PN)81
67
Q4 - 4:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
67
Q4 - 4:47NOHMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
67
Q4 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)81
67
Q4 - 4:59MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)80
67
Q4 - 4:59NOHSUB: Smith FOR Lynch79
67
Q4 - 4:59NOHTraylor S.FOUL (P5.PN)79
67
Q4 - 5:12MIAJones Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)79
67
Q4 - 5:12NOHTraylor T.FOUL (P4.T4)78
67
Q4 - 5:12NOH78
67
Q4 - 5:12NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.T4)78
67
Q4 - 5:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
67
Q4 - 5:14NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot78
67
Q4 - 5:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)78
67
Q4 - 5:41NOHMashburn P.FOUL (P2.T3)75
67
Q4 - 5:5775
67
Q4 - 5:57MIAHeat Rebound75
67
Q4 - 5:59NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot75
67
Q4 - 6:17MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)75
67
Q4 - 6:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
67
Q4 - 6:31NOHMISS Lynch 21' Jump Shot72
67
Q4 - 6:45NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
67
Q4 - 6:46NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 272
67
Q4 - 6:46NOHTraylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
67
Q4 - 6:46MIAOdom S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
66
Q4 - 6:49NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
66
Q4 - 6:50NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
66
Q4 - 7:02NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
66
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot72
66
Q4 - 7:17NOHLynch P.FOUL (P4.T2)72
66
Q4 - 7:33NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)72
66
Q4 - 7:33MIAButler S.FOUL (P4.T4)72
65
Q4 - 7:33NOHWest Layup (8 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)72
65
Q4 - 7:41MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#12)72
63
Q4 - 7:49MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
63
Q4 - 7:49NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 172
63
Q4 - 7:49MIASUB: Butler FOR Allen72
63
Q4 - 7:49NOHSUB: Mashburn FOR Smith72
63
Q4 - 7:49MIAOdom S.FOUL (P2.T3)72
63
Q4 - 7:49NOHTraylor Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)72
63
Q4 - 8:08MIAOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)72
61
Q4 - 8:27MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade69
61
Q4 - 8:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)69
61
Q4 - 8:29NOHArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)69
61
Q4 - 8:34NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
58
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot69
58
Q4 - 8:58NOHWest 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
58
Q4 - 9:09NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
56
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot69
56
Q4 - 9:33NOHWest Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 8 AST)69
56
Q4 - 9:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
54
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Odom 6' Hook Shot69
54
Q4 - 9:49MIAHeat Rebound69
54
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Alston Free Throw Technical69
54
Q4 - 9:49NOHHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Traylor )69
54
Q4 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
54
Q4 - 10:08NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 269
54
Q4 - 10:08NOHHORNETS Rebound69
54
Q4 - 10:08NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 269
54
Q4 - 10:08MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T2)69
54
Q4 - 10:14MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T1)69
54
Q4 - 10:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)69
54
Q4 - 10:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
54
Q4 - 10:40NOHMISS Lynch Layup67
54
Q4 - 10:45NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
54
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade Layup67
54
Q4 - 11:07NOHTraylor Dunk (6 PTS)67
54
Q4 - 11:08NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
52
Q4 - 11:09NOHMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot67
52
Q4 - 11:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)67
52
Q4 - 11:47NOHTraylor L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)65
52
Q4 - 11:47MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
52
Q4 - 11:48NOHMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
52
Q4 - 12:0065
52
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
52
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHTraylor 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 7 AST)65
52
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
50
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
50
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Mashburn63
49
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
49
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAAlston S.FOUL (P1.PN)63
48
Q3 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
48
Q3 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
48
Q3 - 1:02NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)61
48
Q3 - 1:02NOHTraylor P.FOUL (P3.PN)61
48
Q3 - 1:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
48
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Alston Layup61
48
Q3 - 1:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
48
Q3 - 1:09NOHMISS Traylor Layup61
48
Q3 - 1:14NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
48
Q3 - 1:16MIAMashburn BLOCK (2 BLK)61
48
Q3 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
48
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
48
Q3 - 2:02NOHMashburn Layup (18 PTS)61
48
Q3 - 2:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
46
Q3 - 2:45NOHAugmon Layup (8 PTS)58
46
Q3 - 2:47NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)58
44
Q3 - 2:48NOHMISS Augmon Tip Shot58
44
Q3 - 2:49NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
44
Q3 - 2:50NOHMISS Augmon Layup58
44
Q3 - 3:03MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)58
44
Q3 - 3:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
44
Q3 - 3:25NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
44
Q3 - 3:34NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
44
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot58
44
Q3 - 3:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
44
Q3 - 3:59NOHMISS Traylor 8' Jump Shot58
44
Q3 - 4:16MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom58
44
Q3 - 4:16MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
44
Q3 - 4:16MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
44
Q3 - 4:16NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Lynch56
44
Q3 - 4:16NOHLynch P.FOUL (P3.PN)56
44
Q3 - 4:32NOHLynch 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)56
44
Q3 - 4:47MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T10)56
41
Q3 - 4:47MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P1)56
41
Q3 - 5:01NOHSUB: Smith FOR Augmon56
41
Q3 - 5:01MIASUB: Allen FOR Haslem56
41
Q3 - 5:01NOHLynch P.FOUL (P2.T4)56
41
Q3 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
41
Q3 - 5:04NOHMISS Traylor Layup56
41
Q3 - 5:05NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
41
Q3 - 5:06NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
41
Q3 - 5:12MIAAugmon STEAL (1 STL)56
41
Q3 - 5:31NOHTraylor Foul Turnover (P1.T9)56
41
Q3 - 5:31NOHTraylor OFF.Foul (P2)56
41
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
41
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
41
Q3 - 5:40NOHTraylor S.FOUL (P1.T3)54
41
Q3 - 5:46NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Magloire54
41
Q3 - 5:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)54
41
Q3 - 6:04NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T8)54
41
Q3 - 6:04NOHMagloire OFF.Foul (P3)54
41
Q3 - 6:10NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
41
Q3 - 6:11NOHMISS Mashburn Layup54
41
Q3 - 6:23MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade54
41
Q3 - 6:23NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Brown54
41
Q3 - 6:23NOHArmstrong Free Throw Clear Path (4 PTS)54
41
Q3 - 6:23MIAButler C.P.FOUL (P3.T4)54
40
Q3 - 6:24MIAArmstrong STEAL (2 STL)54
40
Q3 - 6:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
40
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Jones Layup54
40
Q3 - 7:04MIAHeat Rebound54
40
Q3 - 7:05NOHMISS Magloire Dunk54
40
Q3 - 7:15MIAOdom 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
40
Q3 - 7:39NOHAugmon Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)52
40
Q3 - 7:50MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
40
Q3 - 8:11NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
40
Q3 - 8:11NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)49
39
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T3)49
38
Q3 - 8:17NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
38
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot49
38
Q3 - 8:36NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
38
Q3 - 8:47MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T2)49
36
Q3 - 8:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)49
36
Q3 - 9:16NOHMashburn 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)46
36
Q3 - 9:34MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T1)46
34
Q3 - 9:34MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)46
34
Q3 - 9:55NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)46
34
Q3 - 10:06MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)46
34
Q3 - 10:13NOHAugmon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)44
34
Q3 - 10:29MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
34
Q3 - 10:29MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
34
Q3 - 10:29NOHBrown S.FOUL (P1.T2)42
34
Q3 - 10:50NOHAugmon Layup (6 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)42
34
Q3 - 11:02NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
32
Q3 - 11:03NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot42
32
Q3 - 11:16NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
32
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 242
32
Q3 - 11:17MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
32
Q3 - 11:17NOHMagloire S.FOUL (P2.T1)41
32
Q3 - 11:32NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
32
Q3 - 11:34NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
32
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire BLOCK (3 BLK)41
32
Q3 - 11:43MIAHeat Rebound41
32
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical41
32
Q3 - 11:43NOHHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Magloire )41
32
Q3 - 12:0041
32
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
32
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
32
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 62' 3PT Jump Shot41
32
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMagloire P.FOUL (P1.T3)41
32
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
32
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHMISS Mashburn 6' Jump Shot41
32
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJones Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)41
32
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)39
32
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
32
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHMISS Augmon 10' Jump Bank Shot39
32
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
32
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot39
32
Q2 - 1:12NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
32
Q2 - 1:12MIASUB: Allen FOR Haslem39
31
Q2 - 1:12NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
31
Q2 - 1:12MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T1)39
30
Q2 - 1:20MIAAlston Violation:Kicked Ball39
30
Q2 - 1:45MIAButler Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)39
30
Q2 - 1:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
30
Q2 - 1:55NOHMISS Augmon 16' Jump Shot37
30
Q2 - 1:57NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
30
Q2 - 1:58NOHMISS Mashburn Layup37
30
Q2 - 2:14NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
30
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
30
Q2 - 2:34NOHArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
30
Q2 - 2:40NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
27
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot37
27
Q2 - 2:59NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Brown37
27
Q2 - 2:59NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Smith37
27
Q2 - 2:59MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade37
27
Q2 - 2:59MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
27
Q2 - 2:59NOHMashburn Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)37
27
Q2 - 3:05NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
27
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Odom 23' Jump Shot37
27
Q2 - 3:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
27
Q2 - 3:13MIABrown BLOCK (4 BLK)37
27
Q2 - 3:34NOHBrown Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
27
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)37
25
Q2 - 4:10MIAHeat Rebound35
25
Q2 - 4:11NOHMISS Mashburn Layup35
25
Q2 - 4:19NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
25
Q2 - 4:22NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot35
25
Q2 - 4:40MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)35
25
Q2 - 4:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
25
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade Layup33
25
Q2 - 5:16NOHSmith 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)33
25
Q2 - 5:34NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)33
23
Q2 - 5:34NOHHORNETS Rebound33
23
Q2 - 5:35MIAMashburn BLOCK (1 BLK)33
23
Q2 - 5:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
23
Q2 - 5:41NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot33
23
Q2 - 6:00NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
23
Q2 - 6:02MIAMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)33
23
Q2 - 6:29NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
23
Q2 - 6:53NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Traylor33
21
Q2 - 6:53NOHSUB: Brown FOR Armstrong33
21
Q2 - 6:53NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
21
Q2 - 6:53NOHJump Ball Brown vs. Haslem: Tip to Brown33
21
Q2 - 6:55MIABrown BLOCK (3 BLK)33
21
Q2 - 7:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
21
Q2 - 7:07NOHMISS Armstrong 13' Jump Shot33
21
Q2 - 7:25NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
21
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Odom 7' Fadeaway Jumper33
21
Q2 - 7:42MIASUB: Haslem FOR Allen33
21
Q2 - 7:42MIASUB: Odom FOR Zhi-zhi33
21
Q2 - 7:4233
21
Q2 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound33
21
Q2 - 7:45NOHMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot33
21
Q2 - 7:50NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
21
Q2 - 7:52MIABrown BLOCK (2 BLK)33
21
Q2 - 8:15NOHSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)33
21
Q2 - 8:34MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)33
18
Q2 - 8:47MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
18
Q2 - 8:49NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
18
Q2 - 9:00NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)31
18
Q2 - 9:02NOHMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
18
Q2 - 9:19MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
18
Q2 - 9:19NOHSUB: Brown FOR Lynch30
18
Q2 - 9:19NOHSUB: Mashburn FOR West30
18
Q2 - 9:19MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
18
Q2 - 9:19NOHLynch S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
18
Q2 - 9:38NOHTraylor Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)29
18
Q2 - 9:51NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
16
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
16
Q2 - 10:04NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
16
Q2 - 10:25NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T2)29
16
Q2 - 10:25NOHSmith OFF.Foul (P2)29
16
Q2 - 10:36MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)29
16
Q2 - 10:38MIASUB: Jones FOR Alston27
16
Q2 - 10:46MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
16
Q2 - 10:47NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
16
Q2 - 11:03MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)27
16
Q2 - 11:31NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
16
Q2 - 11:31NOHSmith Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
16
Q2 - 11:33NOHMISS Traylor Layup24
14
Q2 - 11:40NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
14
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot24
14
Q2 - 12:0024
14
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
14
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
14
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Traylor 20' Jump Shot24
14
Q1 - 0:22.0MIALynch STEAL (1 STL)24
14
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
14
Q1 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Lynch 19' Jump Shot24
14
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Mashburn24
14
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHSUB: Traylor FOR Magloire24
14
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
14
Q1 - 1:24NOHWest Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)24
14
Q1 - 1:45NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
12
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 224
12
Q1 - 1:46MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
12
Q1 - 1:46NOHSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)23
12
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
12
Q1 - 1:59NOHMISS West Layup23
12
Q1 - 2:01NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
12
Q1 - 2:02NOHMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot23
12
Q1 - 2:18MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones23
12
Q1 - 2:18NOHSUB: West FOR Augmon23
12
Q1 - 2:18NOHSUB: Smith FOR Brown23
12
Q1 - 2:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
12
Q1 - 2:18NOHHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)23
12
Q1 - 2:25MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)23
12
Q1 - 2:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
12
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot20
12
Q1 - 2:49MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
12
Q1 - 2:51NOHMISS Armstrong Layup20
12
Q1 - 3:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
12
Q1 - 3:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
12
Q1 - 3:15MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)17
12
Q1 - 3:19MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12
Q1 - 3:21NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot17
12
Q1 - 3:36MIAZhi-zhi Layup (2 PTS)17
12
Q1 - 3:37MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
12
Q1 - 3:38MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)15
12
Q1 - 3:49NOHAugmon Violation:Kicked Ball15
12
Q1 - 3:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12
Q1 - 3:57NOHMISS Mashburn 13' Fadeaway Jumper15
12
Q1 - 4:06MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T4)15
12
Q1 - 4:17MIAAllen 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 4:28NOHMashburn P.FOUL (P1.T1)13
12
Q1 - 4:43NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 4:43MIASUB: Zhi-zhi FOR Haslem13
11
Q1 - 4:43NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
11
Q1 - 4:43MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T3)13
10
Q1 - 4:44NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
10
Q1 - 4:45NOHMISS Mashburn 21' Jump Shot13
10
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)13
10
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)13
10
Q1 - 5:08NOHArmstrong Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
10
Q1 - 5:22MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade13
10
Q1 - 5:22NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
10
Q1 - 5:22MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
10
Q1 - 5:22MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)13
10
Q1 - 5:41NOHMashburn 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
10
Q1 - 6:01MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
8
Q1 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8
Q1 - 6:09NOHMISS Magloire Layup11
8
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
8
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade Tip Shot (4 PTS)11
8
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Odom Layup9
8
Q1 - 6:36MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)9
8
Q1 - 6:36NOHHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Magloire )8
8
Q1 - 6:50NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem Violation:Lane8
7
Q1 - 6:50MIASUB: Allen FOR Butler8
7
Q1 - 6:50NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 6:50MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T1)8
6
Q1 - 7:09MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 7:09MIAButler OFF.Foul (P1)8
6
Q1 - 7:30NOHAugmon Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)8
6
Q1 - 7:33NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
4
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 7:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
4
Q1 - 7:49NOHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:06MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 8:17MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 8:19NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:30NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
4
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
4
Q1 - 8:42NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
4
Q1 - 8:42NOHMISS Brown Tip Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:43NOHMISS Magloire Layup6
4
Q1 - 8:44NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 8:46NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Fadeaway Jumper6
4
Q1 - 9:05MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)6
4
Q1 - 9:29NOHMashburn 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 9:42NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 9:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
2
Q1 - 9:53NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:35NOHAugmon Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:43MIAWade Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:58NOHMISS Magloire 12' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:37MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Haslem: Tip to Armstrong0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
NOH
0.79 39.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
25
44%
NOH
14
29
48%
Midrange
MIA
12
29
41%
NOH
8
34
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
16
63%
94%
NOH
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
18
23
78%
NOH
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2492%12.0 / 13
U. Haslem2077%10.0 / 13
L. Odom1250%6.0 / 12
C. Butler1139%5.5 / 14
D. Wade1045%5.0 / 11
R. Alston867%4.0 / 6
M. Allen660%3.0 / 5
W. Zhi-zhi325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn1839%9.0 / 23
D. Armstrong935%4.5 / 13
S. Smith956%4.5 / 8
R. Traylor938%4.5 / 12
D. West956%4.5 / 8
S. Augmon850%4.0 / 8
G. Lynch330%1.5 / 5
T. Brown375%1.5 / 2
P. Brown217%1.0 / 6
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+13
-12
85
NOH
72
+16
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
NOH
0.79 39.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.8
MIA 111.9
NOH 84.3 +27.6
Pace
90.6
91.4
MIA 87.0 +6.6
NOH 80.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
MIA 16.6 +1.4
NOH 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.0%
MIA 54.3% +18.9%
NOH 35.4%
TO %
14.4%
15.3%
MIA 14.9%
NOH 11.2% +3.7%
ORB %
27.5%
30.6%
MIA 31.6% +0.2%
NOH 31.4%
FTrt
29.8
29.3
MIA 32.9 +8.8
NOH 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
61.9%
MIA 69.7% +15.9%
NOH 53.8%
STL %
7.9%
9.4%
MIA 4.8%
NOH 4.8%
BLK %
6.3%
6.7%
MIA 11.1%
NOH 18.5% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.1%
MIA 54.7% +15.4%
NOH 39.3%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.9%
MIA 44.0%
NOH 48.3% +4.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.9%
MIA 41.4% +17.9%
NOH 23.5%
3P %
35.7%
31.9%
MIA 62.5% +37.5%
NOH 25.0%
FT %
76.2%
75.1%
MIA 78.3% +4.6%
NOH 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
32.8%
MIA 35.7%
NOH 36.7% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
42.0%
MIA 41.4% +1.6%
NOH 43.0%
3P Att. %
21.1%
25.2%
MIA 22.9% +2.6%
NOH 20.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points9470
Rebounds4742
Assists2314
Steals44
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)16 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (6)26 (1)
Field Goals33-7026-79
At-the-Rim FG11-2514-29
Midrange FG12-298-34
2-Point FG23-5422-63
3-Point FG10-164-16
Free Throws18-2314-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
38.3
24
92%
5
7
0
2
3
3
1
4
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
5-7
71%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
37.8
12
50%
6
3
1
2
1
3
0
6
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
37.0
11
39%
6
1
0
1
3
4
1
5
0-0
-
4-12
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'8" 235 · 24
35.4
20
77%
9
2
0
0
2
3
5
4
4-4
100%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
28.8
10
45%
5
3
3
0
2
2
2
3
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
26.4
8
67%
4
6
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
24.0
6
60%
7
1
0
2
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
10.7
3
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
47
23
4
7
12
0
12
35
18-23
78%
23-54
43%
10-16
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.