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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 31, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz15%8281
2Spurs85%9585
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
37.8
35.2
13
59%
6
2
2
2
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
3-4
75%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.9
29.9
33.6
11
75%
10
0
0
0
1
2
2
8
3-3
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.0
29.6
21.1
2
18%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-1
0%
1-5
1-3
20%
36%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.5
26.1
31.9
13
47%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-4
25%
6-12
5-11
50%
43%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.8
24.3
27.6
4
25%
3
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-10
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.2
25.4
24.4
10
108%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
24.0
25.4
10
45%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
21.9
15.1
10
39%
3
3
2
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
40%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28.2
10.8
15.7
2
36%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
38%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.2
10.2
10.6
6
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
10.3
0
2-3
47%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.1
6.4
0
1-2
34%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.8
43.1
40.8
33
65%
14
3
0
1
3
3
6
8
11-17
65%
11-18
10-19
61%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
38.4
31.6
20
57%
1
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
4-6
67%
5-10
5-9
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.9
37.0
16.8
13
54%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
26.2
27.0
4
23%
5
0
1
1
2
0
3
2
0-2
0%
2-8
4-8
25%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.6
24.9
34.4
2
14%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
23.4
31.8
6
39%
6
3
0
2
0
0
3
3
6-6
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.4
19.6
9.4
2
26%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
10.9
10.2
3
31%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
9.6
15.0
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.2
6.9
13.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
5.2
0
1-2
44%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.4
1.7
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.