FinalWin Prob.pScore
1615%83
81
285%95
85
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
93.18784.7
SAS logo SAS
98.88688.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA81
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0UTAArroyo 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)81
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0UTACollins 2' Layup (10 PTS)79
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0UTADuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)77
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 277
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0UTAKirilenko 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)77
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0UTAMISS Arroyo 3' Running Layup74
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (33 PTS)74
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTAJazz Rebound72
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot72
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q4 - 1:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q4 - 1:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 272
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 1:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)72
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 1:29UTAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)72
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q4 - 1:29UTAArroyo 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)71
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q4 - 1:38SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 1:38SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 269
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q4 - 1:49UTAArroyo 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 2:01SASTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)67
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 2:22SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q4 - 2:23UTAMISS Ostertag 11' Jump Shot67
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 2:42UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q4 - 2:44SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 2:58SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q4 - 3:00UTAMISS Lopez 13' Jump Shot67
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 3:15SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q4 - 3:32UTALopez 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)67
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q4 - 3:36UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q4 - 3:38SASMISS Bowen 7' Running Jump Shot65
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q4 - 3:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 3:53UTAMISS Bell 5' Running Jump Shot65
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q4 - 4:14SASParker 4' Driving Layup (15 PTS)65
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q4 - 4:28UTAOstertag 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q4 - 4:47UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q4 - 4:49SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot63
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q4 - 4:57SASSPURS Rebound63
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q4 - 4:59SASMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot63
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q4 - 5:12UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q4 - 5:12UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q4 - 5:26UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q4 - 5:27SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot61
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q4 - 5:39SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Duncan 16' Fadeaway Jumper61
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q4 - 6:05SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q4 - 6:07SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q4 - 6:24UTABell 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)61
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q4 - 6:28UTAJazz Rebound59
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q4 - 6:28UTANesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)59
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q4 - 6:48SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q4 - 6:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q4 - 7:01UTAMISS Lopez 22' Jump Shot59
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q4 - 7:28SASTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)59
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q4 - 7:42UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q4 - 7:42UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q4 - 8:00SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q4 - 8:00SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q4 - 8:13UTALopez 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)57
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q4 - 8:27UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Ward 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q4 - 8:48UTAPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q4 - 8:48UTAPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q4 - 9:05UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q4 - 9:06SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot53
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q4 - 9:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)53
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q4 - 9:24UTAMISS Lopez 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q4 - 9:43SASTurkoglu 3' Running Finger Roll (10 PTS)53
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q4 - 10:03UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q4 - 10:03UTAPavlovic 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)53
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q4 - 10:05UTAMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot51
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q4 - 10:23UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q4 - 10:24SASMISS Ward 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q4 - 10:26UTAWard STEAL (1 STL)51
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q4 - 10:31UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q4 - 10:32SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q4 - 10:52UTAPavlovic Foul Turnover (P1.T17)51
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q4 - 11:12SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS)51
4.8%
59
95.2%
Q4 - 11:20SASSPURS Rebound51
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q4 - 11:21SASMISS Turkoglu 2' Layup51
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q4 - 11:37UTAPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q4 - 11:37UTAPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS49
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound49
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 19' Jump Shot49
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)49
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Duncan 3' Tip Shot49
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot49
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASSPURS Rebound49
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0UTAHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)49
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 249
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 249
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)49
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0UTAMISS Stevenson 15' Fadeaway Jumper49
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 1:17SASParker 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)49
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q3 - 1:34UTAParker STEAL (3 STL)49
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q3 - 1:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)49
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q3 - 1:59SASDuncan 2' Layup (27 PTS)49
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q3 - 2:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)49
10.7%
52
89.3%
Q3 - 2:01SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot49
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q3 - 2:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q3 - 2:17UTAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 3 of 349
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 2:17UTAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 349
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 2:17UTAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 349
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q3 - 2:37SASDuncan 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)49
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 2:52UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)49
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q3 - 3:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)46
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q3 - 3:11SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 246
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q3 - 3:36UTAParker STEAL (2 STL)46
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q3 - 3:44SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)46
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q3 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)46
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q3 - 3:47UTAMISS Arroyo 3' Running Layup46
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q3 - 3:53SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q3 - 4:07UTAStevenson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)46
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q3 - 4:27SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q3 - 4:32SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q3 - 4:33SASMISS Horry 6' Jump Shot44
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q3 - 4:46UTAOstertag Foul Turnover (P2.T14)44
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q3 - 4:59UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q3 - 5:01SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot44
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q3 - 5:14UTAMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 144
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q3 - 5:14UTARuffin 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)44
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q3 - 5:21UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 5:23SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup42
8.9%
47
91.1%
Q3 - 5:37UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)42
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q3 - 5:37UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 5:38UTAMISS Kirilenko 15' Fadeaway Jumper42
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q3 - 6:01UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 6:03SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot42
8.9%
47
91.1%
Q3 - 6:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q3 - 6:19UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot42
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q3 - 6:28UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q3 - 6:30SASMISS Bowen 1' Reverse Layup42
8.9%
47
91.1%
Q3 - 6:42UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)42
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q3 - 7:15SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)42
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q3 - 7:15SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 242
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q3 - 7:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q3 - 7:18SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup42
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q3 - 7:22UTABowen STEAL (1 STL)42
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q3 - 7:34UTAJazz Rebound42
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q3 - 7:35SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot42
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q3 - 8:00UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q3 - 8:00UTAOstertag 1' Layup (7 PTS)42
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q3 - 8:02UTADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)40
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q3 - 8:14UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q3 - 8:16SASMISS Turkoglu 5' Layup40
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q3 - 8:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q3 - 8:23UTAMISS Kirilenko 17' Jump Shot40
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q3 - 8:27SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q3 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q3 - 8:31UTADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)40
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q3 - 8:40UTAJazz Rebound40
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q3 - 8:40UTAParker BLOCK (1 BLK)40
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q3 - 8:56SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)40
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q3 - 9:17UTAArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)40
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q3 - 9:28UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q3 - 9:30SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q3 - 9:36SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q3 - 9:38UTAMISS Stevenson 7' Running Jump Shot40
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q3 - 9:57SASParker 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q3 - 10:11UTAArroyo 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)40
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q3 - 10:21UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
10.3%
42
89.7%
Q3 - 10:23SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot38
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q3 - 10:40UTAOstertag Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)38
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q3 - 11:11UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q3 - 11:12SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 238
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q3 - 11:12SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 238
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q3 - 11:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
8.7%
42
91.3%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q3 - 11:23SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
8.7%
42
91.3%
Q3 - 11:25UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot38
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q3 - 11:46SASBowen 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS38
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound38
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 35' 3PT Jump Shot38
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTALopez 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 0:17.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)36
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)36
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0UTAMISS Ostertag 5' Jump Shot36
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)36
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 1:09SASSPURS Rebound36
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 1:09UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 1:17UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 1:20SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
17.0%
35
83.0%
Q2 - 1:28UTAParker STEAL (1 STL)36
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 1:42UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 1:44UTAMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot36
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 2:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 2:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q2 - 2:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 2:04UTAMISS Lopez 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 2:22SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 2:39UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)36
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)33
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q2 - 3:21UTALopez Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)33
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 3:23UTABell 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lopez 3 AST)32
15.3%
31
84.7%
Q2 - 3:33UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
14.0%
31
86.0%
Q2 - 3:35UTAMISS Lopez 2' Layup30
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 3:50UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
14.0%
31
86.0%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot30
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q2 - 4:07UTALopez 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ruffin 2 AST)30
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 4:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)28
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q2 - 4:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 228
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 4:50UTAKirilenko 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)28
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q2 - 4:56SASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
10.0%
30
90.0%
Q2 - 5:05UTABell 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)26
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q2 - 5:22SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)24
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 5:43UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 5:43UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 5:43UTAJazz Rebound22
8.1%
28
91.9%
Q2 - 5:44SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot22
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 5:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 5:53SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 5:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Brown 3' Layup22
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 6:06SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 6:08UTAMISS Lopez 10' Jump Shot22
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q2 - 6:37UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
8.1%
28
91.9%
Q2 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot22
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q2 - 6:49SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 6:53UTAMISS Lopez 12' Jump Shot22
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q2 - 7:16UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q2 - 7:19SASMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot22
7.9%
28
92.1%
Q2 - 7:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q2 - 7:34UTAMISS Lopez 22' Jump Shot22
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q2 - 7:50SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q2 - 7:50SASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 222
8.4%
27
91.6%
Q2 - 7:50UTABrown STEAL (1 STL)22
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q2 - 8:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q2 - 8:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)22
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q2 - 8:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q2 - 8:06UTAMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot22
10.2%
25
89.8%
Q2 - 8:32SASBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ward 1 AST)22
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q2 - 8:56UTABell 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)22
11.8%
23
88.2%
Q2 - 9:01SASWard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)20
10.8%
23
89.2%
Q2 - 9:04SASWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q2 - 9:07UTAMISS Pavlovic 13' Jump Shot20
10.1%
23
89.9%
Q2 - 9:27SASWard Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)20
10.8%
23
89.2%
Q2 - 9:41UTABell 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)20
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q2 - 9:59UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q2 - 10:01SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot18
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q2 - 10:22UTALopez Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q2 - 10:30UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)17
7.5%
23
92.5%
Q2 - 10:57SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q2 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q2 - 11:00SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot17
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q2 - 11:16SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
8.9%
21
91.1%
Q2 - 11:20UTAMISS Moore Free Throw 2 of 217
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q2 - 11:20UTAMISS Moore Free Throw 1 of 217
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q2 - 11:38SASRose 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)17
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
10.6%
19
89.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTACollins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)17
10.6%
19
89.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0UTAMoore Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
10.7%
17
89.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0UTAMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot13
9.4%
17
90.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0UTAStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)13
9.0%
17
91.0%
Q1 - 1:09SASTurkoglu 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)13
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 1:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 1:16UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot13
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 1:41SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 1:44SASSPURS Rebound13
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 1:46SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot13
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 2:03SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 2:05UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 2:05UTAMISS Ruffin Layup13
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 2:06UTAMISS Arroyo 1' Layup13
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 2:25SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 2:41UTAArroyo 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 3:04UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 3:05SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot11
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 3:26SASSPURS Rebound11
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 3:27SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot11
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 3:51UTAStevenson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 3:56UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
8.2%
15
91.8%
Q1 - 3:59UTANesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)9
7.7%
15
92.3%
Q1 - 4:16SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)9
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 4:36UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)9
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 5:03SASNesterovic 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)9
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 5:20UTAOstertag 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)9
9.9%
11
90.1%
Q1 - 5:38SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)7
9.3%
11
90.7%
Q1 - 5:53UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 5:53UTAOstertag 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)6
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 6:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
8.6%
9
91.4%
Q1 - 6:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
8.8%
8
91.2%
Q1 - 6:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
9.2%
7
90.8%
Q1 - 6:10SASMISS Nesterovic 11' Jump Shot4
9.7%
7
90.3%
Q1 - 6:31UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)4
9.2%
7
90.8%
Q1 - 6:59SASTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
9.9%
7
90.1%
Q1 - 7:07SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 7:09UTAMISS Kirilenko 13' Jump Shot4
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 7:31UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 7:34SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot4
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 7:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 7:46UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot4
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 8:02SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 8:04SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12.5%
2
87.5%
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Turkoglu 4' Jump Shot4
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 8:11SASSPURS Rebound4
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 8:13SASMISS Bowen 5' Jump Shot4
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 8:31SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 8:33UTAMISS Arroyo 12' Fadeaway Jumper4
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 8:47SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 9:00UTANesterovic STEAL (1 STL)4
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 9:14UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Hook Shot4
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 9:32UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 9:50UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 9:52SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot4
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 10:07UTAArroyo 23' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 10:31UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 10:33SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot2
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 10:58UTAKirilenko 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:13UTARuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 11:16UTAMISS Kirilenko 17' Jump Shot0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 11:36UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 11:38UTAMISS Stevenson 5' Jump Shot0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Ostertag: Tip to Arroyo0
11.5%
0
88.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.92 46.0%
SAS
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
12
24
50%
SAS
12
24
50%
Midrange
UTA
15
38
39%
SAS
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
SAS
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
UTA
18
24
75%
SAS
24
35
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko1359%6.5 / 11
C. Arroyo1346%6.5 / 14
G. Ostertag1169%5.5 / 8
J. Collins10100%5.0 / 5
R. Bell1045%5.0 / 11
R. Lopez1042%5.0 / 12
S. Pavlovic675%3.0 / 4
D. Stevenson425%2.0 / 8
M. Ruffin217%1.0 / 6
M. Moore233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3361%16.5 / 27
T. Parker2056%10.0 / 18
H. Turkoglu1354%6.5 / 12
M. Ginobili638%3.0 / 8
R. Nesterovic422%2.0 / 9
D. Brown330%1.5 / 5
B. Bowen214%1.0 / 7
R. Horry225%1.0 / 4
M. Rose233%1.0 / 3
C. Ward0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
74
+13
-13
87
SAS
77
+21
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.92 46.0%
SAS
0.86 42.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
100.0
UTA 93.1
SAS 98.8 +5.7
Pace
88.8
91.3
UTA 84.7
SAS 88.4 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
16.0
UTA 17.0
SAS 16.3 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
47.3%
UTA 45.0% +5.4%
SAS 39.6%
TO %
17.2%
15.4%
UTA 18.3%
SAS 9.8% +8.5%
ORB %
34.1%
29.5%
UTA 27.0%
SAS 33.3% +6.3%
FTrt
35.6
32.2
UTA 34.3
SAS 45.5 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
59.0%
UTA 53.3% +10.4%
SAS 42.9%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
UTA 8.0%
SAS 8.1% +0.1%
BLK %
10.6%
9.9%
UTA 6.7%
SAS 11.3% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.0%
48.6%
UTA 46.0% +3.1%
SAS 42.9%
Rim FG%
53.4%
57.6%
UTA 50.0%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
37.0%
UTA 39.5% +8.9%
SAS 30.6%
3P %
32.1%
35.8%
UTA 37.5% +8.1%
SAS 29.4%
FT %
74.6%
68.1%
UTA 75.0% +6.4%
SAS 68.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
35.9%
UTA 34.3% +3.1%
SAS 31.2%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
46.4%
UTA 54.3%
SAS 46.8% +7.5%
3P Att. %
12.7%
17.7%
UTA 11.4%
SAS 22.1% +10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsUTASAS
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points8185
Rebounds3841
Assists1612
Steals77
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)13 (5)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)27 (3)
Field Goals30-7028-77
At-the-Rim FG12-2412-24
Midrange FG15-3811-36
2-Point FG27-6223-60
3-Point FG3-85-17
Free Throws18-2424-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
37.8
13
59%
6
2
2
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
3-4
75%
C · 7'2" 280 · 31
29.9
11
69%
10
0
0
1
2
3
2
8
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 248 · 27
29.6
2
17%
7
2
1
1
1
4
2
5
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
26.1
13
46%
1
3
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-4
25%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 23
24.3
4
25%
3
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 249 · 25
25.4
10
100%
3
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
6-6
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
24.0
10
45%
3
1
0
0
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
21.9
10
42%
3
3
2
0
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28
10.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
5
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20
10.2
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
G · 6'1" 198 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
46%
38
16
7
4
13
0
10
28
18-24
75%
27-62
44%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.