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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 1, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Lakers46%9584
22Raptors54%9683
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.5
38.6
34.3
14
51%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.9
38.5
25.1
36
68%
8
5
1
0
1
6
2
6
10-15
67%
13-20
4-8
65%
54%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
31.3
32.4
5
34%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
25.7
26.0
2
15%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.8
14.9
28.6
2
25%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
5-11
25%
47%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
29.1
22.1
4
23%
9
1
1
1
1
0
3
6
2-2
100%
1-8
2-4
13%
45%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.5
25.6
19.4
8
45%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
21.9
9.3
6
44%
5
4
2
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
11.4
12.5
4
50%
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
3.0
14.9
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
1-1
100%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Maurice Carter
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
42.8
36.0
27
52%
10
3
1
1
0
5
5
5
10-14
71%
7-17
7-15
41%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.9
39.2
32.5
17
52%
14
0
1
1
1
2
5
9
3-3
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
39.2
37.7
18
57%
13
0
3
1
1
2
3
10
4-4
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
33.0
34.0
11
49%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
3-8
4-10
38%
42%
0-1
0%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.5
25.1
31.0
2
9%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-9
3-7
11%
45%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
29.3
23.3
6
36%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-7
29%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.0
16.0
14.6
1
13%
1
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 23.8
10.1
5.8
1
18%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.6
5.3
9.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.0
6.3
0
1-2
47%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.8
4.7
0
1-1
39%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.4
2.0
0
0-0
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.