for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies58%98103
29Wizards42%96101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
32.6
26.6
9
46%
7
2
0
1
3
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.1
30.7
24.8
31
99%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
6-6
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
5-6
83%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
28.7
31.9
18
51%
5
3
1
1
3
3
1
4
6-8
75%
6-13
6-13
46%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.2
25.9
26.2
2
25%
4
7
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.0
11.7
14.5
11
65%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.4
26.8
22.7
7
50%
4
1
3
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
24.2
28.5
12
51%
4
0
0
1
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.6
22.1
20.5
6
44%
3
11
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
19.3
15.2
2
33%
7
0
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.2
15.4
14.4
5
46%
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
2.6
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.7
6.9
0
1-2
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
39.8
26.1
27
76%
7
6
4
1
0
2
2
5
11-11
100%
8-11
4-10
73%
44%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.2
35.9
29.3
19
59%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
5-11
4-11
45%
41%
2-3
67%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
35.6
33.7
9
28%
2
6
1
2
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
2-9
4-10
22%
45%
1-6
17%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.9
34.4
27.9
15
63%
10
2
1
1
0
0
1
9
1-2
50%
7-10
3-7
70%
46%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.2
30.7
18.3
16
55%
11
0
0
0
4
2
5
6
4-6
67%
6-12
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.2
15.6
17.6
2
27%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
14.7
17.9
4
33%
3
0
2
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.5
12.1
30.9
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
4-9
100%
43%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.3
8.5
25.1
0
0%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-8
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.9
8.5
23.5
7
60%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-4
33%
39%
1-2
50%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.2
4.2
23.5
0
0%
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.5
11.2
0
1-3
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.