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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat26%8688
5Nets74%9499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
41.3
36.2
15
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
42%
3-8
38%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
39.1
38.9
27
74%
5
9
4
1
1
3
1
4
10-12
83%
7-12
5-11
58%
44%
1-1
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.9
38.7
34.8
12
40%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-7
57%
4-11
4-10
36%
39%
0-1
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
38.6
32.0
10
63%
2
10
1
1
0
7
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
38%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
37.0
31.3
10
44%
9
0
0
1
0
0
1
8
2-3
67%
4-10
3-8
40%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
21.5
17.5
5
36%
3
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-6
33%
41%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
13.7
1.7
7
117%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
41%
1-1
100%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.6
7.6
7.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-0
-
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.8
2.5
1.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.0
31.3
1
5-11
43%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
12.2
0
1-3
45%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.6
3.0
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.6
41.2
37.4
21
58%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
6-7
86%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.9
38.0
38.2
18
46%
11
4
3
2
0
2
1
10
6-6
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
45%
0-3
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
34.2
35.0
24
68%
13
5
2
1
2
5
6
7
4-4
100%
10-16
6-13
63%
49%
0-0
-
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.6
28.3
33.5
7
44%
2
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
16.1
26.2
0
0%
5
3
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.3
29.4
17.6
11
71%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.6
22.5
17.0
6
43%
5
4
3
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.1
19.7
15.3
9
54%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 21.4
10.0
5.9
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
0.7
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.6
2.0
0
0-1
41%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 33.7
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.