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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Lakers57%100111
25Cavaliers43%98106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.9
49
22
37
12
6
0
0
2
1
3
9
9-20
45%
14-21
4-8
67%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.5
48
26
6
8
4
0
1
0
1
0
8
4-5
80%
1-5
3-7
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.5
43
36
30
4
6
0
1
2
1
0
4
4-6
67%
10-16
5-11
63%
48%
2-4
50%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
32
20
5
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
1-5
20%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.8
20
23
7
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-5
4-9
60%
48%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
33
27
11
12
3
0
1
1
1
3
9
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
19
23
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Maurice Carter
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
13
4
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
7-8
88%
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
4
13
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
4
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
4
0
0-1
46%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.2
46
35
25
16
7
1
1
0
2
3
13
3-3
100%
11-17
6-12
65%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.1
43
38
32
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
8-22
8-18
36%
43%
4-4
100%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
36
26
20
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
11-13
85%
3-9
3-7
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.3
34
31
2
1
6
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-7
4-8
14%
44%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.7
32
34
12
9
0
1
1
2
1
4
5
2-2
100%
5-13
6-14
38%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.0
22
13
6
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
3
0-2
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
39%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.1
19
16
1
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
0-4
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
19
20
2
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
14
15
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
39%
1-2
50%
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22.9
7
0
1-1
44%
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
36%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.