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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bucks37%9785
9Grizzlies63%101105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.9
36.1
32.2
18
50%
6
0
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
7-12
4-9
58%
46%
1-5
20%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
35.3
34.2
20
45%
8
2
2
1
0
3
3
5
10-10
100%
5-16
6-13
31%
47%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 20.9
27.1
24.8
0
0%
3
7
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-1
0%
0-6
3-7
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.6
24.7
2.9
9
39%
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
1-1
100%
4-11
0-1
36%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.7
23.1
28.2
5
32%
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
2
1-4
25%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.4
25.8
16.9
8
37%
3
3
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.4
23.8
22.0
11
95%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
2-3
67%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
22.4
16.9
4
41%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.3
21.7
24.1
10
64%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
29.0
0
4-8
45%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.2
3.8
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.1
38.3
26.8
21
87%
11
2
2
1
0
4
2
9
7-7
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
33.0
30.4
27
70%
12
0
2
1
5
2
2
10
9-12
75%
9-12
6-12
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.2
30.7
26.0
8
32%
3
10
3
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-7
14%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
27.8
28.5
10
56%
10
1
0
1
3
1
5
5
0-0
-
5-9
4-10
56%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.0
9.0
13.7
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.4
23.4
24.0
9
65%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
19.9
16.6
2
27%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
19.6
26.5
8
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
5-12
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.7
17.3
20.9
7
88%
3
5
0
1
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.2
15.7
15.0
5
26%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
1-8
3-5
13%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
5.1
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.7
4.8
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.